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Eredivisie
Referee: Jeroen Manschot
Heracles
S S S U U
1–1
Full-time
Den Haag
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 29/32 matches
Win Ø 38%
45%
31%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
48%
53%
Both score Ø 54%
45%
63%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
20 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 6. · Den Haag 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 32 24 6 2 +56 78
2 PSV Eindhoven 32 24 6 2 +50 78
3 Feyenoord 32 17 6 9 +20 57
4 AZ Alkmaar 32 16 5 11 +12 53
5 Zwolle 30 14 5 11 +6 47
6 Heracles 29 13 7 9 +0 46
7 Nijmegen 32 13 7 12 -3 46
8 Vitesse 32 12 9 11 +19 45
9 Groningen 31 12 8 11 -8 44
10 Twente 32 12 6 14 -11 42
11 Den Haag 32 10 11 11 -1 41
12 Heerenveen 32 11 8 13 -14 41
13 Utrecht 28 11 7 10 +5 40
14 Roda 32 7 10 15 -21 31
15 Willem II 32 5 11 16 -18 26
16 Excelsior 32 6 8 18 -28 26
17 De Graafschap 32 5 7 20 -24 22
18 Cambuur 32 3 9 20 -40 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Sep -15 Den Haag – Heracles 0–1

Match report

Heracles Den Haag
31′
🟨 Danny Bakker
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Korte
↦ D. van der Heijden
58′
🔁 T. Derijck
↦ D. Bakker
68′
E. Duplan 0–1
G. Korte
T. Breukers 🔁
↦ M. Fledderus
73′
T. Kada 🔁
↦ J. Navrátil
75′
83′
🔁 G. Zuiverloon
↦ E. Duplan
P. Gladon 🔁
↦ I. Bel Hassani
88′
1–1 P. Gladon
R. Zomer
88′
90′
🟨 Mike Havenaar
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heracles

1 B. Castro G
18 R. Zomer D
21 R. Gosens M
4 G. Bosz M
23 M. Fledderus D
8 I. Bel Hassani M
10 T. Bruns M
14 J. Pelupessy M
20 P. van Ooijen M
19 W. Weghorst F
15 J. Navrátil F
Bench (7)
2 T. Breukers
11 T. Kada
9 P. Gladon
7 B. Darri
24 M. Heerkes
25 R. Fij
27 J. Hoogma

Den Haag

1 M. Hansen G
8 A. Meijers D
25 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 W. Kanon D
28 T. Ebuehi D
6 T. Kristensen M
7 K. Jansen M
17 D. Bakker M
9 M. Havenaar F
21 E. Duplan F
19 D. van der Heijden F
Bench (7)
14 G. Korte
4 T. Derijck
51 G. Zuiverloon
15 K. Ebecilio
22 R. Zwinkels
30 S. Owobowale
31 H. Hevel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.