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Eliteserien

Referee: Tom Harald Hagen

Sarpsborg 08

U S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Aalesund

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Eliteserien · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

33%

22%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 33%

22%

44%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

21 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 9. · Aalesund 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	9	7	1	1	+13	22
2	Molde	10	6	3	1	+7	21
3	Odd	10	6	2	2	+5	20
4	Haugesund	10	5	2	3	+5	17
5	Stromsgodset	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Brann	10	5	2	3	+1	17
7	Lillestrom	10	4	4	2	+5	16
8	Viking	9	5	1	3	+0	16
9	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	3	3	+1	12
10	Sogndal	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Valerenga	10	3	1	6	-3	10
12	Tromso	9	2	3	4	-10	9
13	Bodo/Glimt	10	2	2	6	-4	8
14	Aalesund	9	2	1	6	-3	7
15	Stabaek	9	1	1	7	-9	4
16	Start	9	0	4	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Molde	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Stromsgodset	5	4	1	0	+7	13
4	Haugesund	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Lillestrom	5	3	2	0	+7	11
6	Brann	4	3	1	0	+4	10
7	Odd	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Valerenga	5	3	0	2	+5	9
9	Tromso	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Sogndal	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Bodo/Glimt	6	2	1	3	+0	7
12	Viking	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Aalesund	5	2	0	3	+2	6
14	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	2	1	+3	5
15	Stabaek	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Start	5	0	3	2	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	5	3	1	1	+2	10
2	Viking	4	3	0	1	+0	9
3	Molde	5	2	2	1	-2	8
4	Rosenborg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	1	2	-2	7
6	Brann	6	2	1	3	-3	7
7	Haugesund	5	2	0	3	-2	6
8	Lillestrom	5	1	2	2	-2	5
9	Sogndal	5	1	1	3	-2	4
10	Stromsgodset	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Tromso	5	0	2	3	-12	2
12	Bodo/Glimt	4	0	1	3	-4	1
13	Aalesund	4	0	1	3	-5	1
14	Start	4	0	1	3	-6	1
15	Stabaek	5	0	1	4	-7	1
16	Valerenga	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.