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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Groningen

U T S T U

0–1

Full-time

Willem II

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,1

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 76%

63%

88%

Both score Ø 76%

88%

63%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,8

2,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 11. · Willem II 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+18	21
2	Ajax	8	5	1	2	+13	16
3	Feyenoord	8	5	1	2	+10	16
4	Zwolle	8	4	3	1	+3	15
5	Vitesse	7	4	2	1	+8	14
6	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+1	14
7	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	1	3	-1	13
8	VVV Venlo	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	Excelsior	8	3	1	4	-3	10
10	Den Haag	8	3	1	4	-4	10
11	Groningen	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	Heracles	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Utrecht	6	3	0	3	-4	9
14	NAC Breda	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Twente	8	2	0	6	-3	6
16	Roda	8	2	0	6	-9	6
17	Willem II	8	2	0	6	-10	6
18	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	2	5	-10	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Zwolle	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Groningen	5	2	3	0	+2	9
5	Heracles	5	2	2	1	+0	8
6	Feyenoord	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	NAC Breda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Den Haag	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-1	3
17	Roda	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Excelsior	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Excelsior	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	0	1	+10	9
5	Feyenoord	4	3	0	1	+6	9
6	VVV Venlo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+5	7
8	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Den Haag	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-3	3
12	Zwolle	4	0	3	1	-3	3
13	Roda	5	1	0	4	-6	3
14	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-9	3
15	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	1	3	-8	1
17	Groningen	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Twente	5	0	0	5	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.