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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

Groningen

S U T S T

1–1

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

29%

57%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

71%

57%

Both score Ø 65%

86%

43%

Average goals

3,4

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%

8 Shots 22

4 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 7

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Groningen 12. · AZ Alkmaar 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+15	18
2	Ajax	8	5	1	2	+13	16
3	Feyenoord	8	5	1	2	+10	16
4	Zwolle	8	4	3	1	+3	15
5	Vitesse	7	4	2	1	+8	14
6	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+1	14
7	VVV Venlo	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	AZ Alkmaar	7	4	0	3	-1	12
9	Den Haag	7	3	1	3	-3	10
10	Heracles	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Utrecht	6	3	0	3	-4	9
12	Groningen	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Excelsior	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	NAC Breda	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Twente	7	2	0	5	-1	6
16	Roda	8	2	0	6	-9	6
17	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	2	5	-10	5
18	Willem II	7	1	0	6	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Zwolle	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Groningen	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Heracles	5	2	2	1	+0	8
6	Feyenoord	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	NAC Breda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Den Haag	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Roda	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Willem II	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Excelsior	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Feyenoord	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	VVV Venlo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Excelsior	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+7	6
8	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Den Haag	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-3	3
12	Zwolle	4	0	3	1	-3	3
13	Roda	5	1	0	4	-6	3
14	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-9	3
15	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	1	3	-8	1
17	Groningen	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Twente	4	0	0	4	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.