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Eliteserien

Referee: E Eskås

Lillestrom

S S S T S

1–2

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,5

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,8

1,5

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

22 Shots 24

6 Shots on target 10

9 Blocked shots 6

8 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 2. · Sarpsborg 08 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Lillestrom	6	4	0	2	+1	12
3	Viking	6	3	2	1	+6	11
4	Brann	7	3	2	2	+4	11
5	Tromso	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Stabaek	6	3	2	1	+1	11
7	Molde	7	3	1	3	+5	10
8	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Odd	7	2	3	2	+0	9
10	Valerenga	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Sandefjord	6	1	3	2	+1	6
12	Rosenborg	7	1	3	3	-4	6
13	Haugesund	6	1	3	2	-5	6
14	Ham-Kam	6	2	0	4	-6	6
15	Stromsgodset	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Aalesund	7	0	1	6	-13	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Stabaek	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Viking	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Brann	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Molde	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Lillestrom	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Ham-Kam	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Haugesund	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Sandefjord	3	1	1	1	+3	4
10	Odd	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Tromso	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Rosenborg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Valerenga	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Tromso	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Valerenga	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Lillestrom	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Odd	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Viking	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Brann	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Molde	3	1	0	2	+2	3
10	Stabaek	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Rosenborg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Sandefjord	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Stromsgodset	4	0	1	3	-4	1
14	Haugesund	3	0	1	2	-6	1
15	Ham-Kam	2	0	0	2	-5	0
16	Aalesund	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.