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Eliteserien
Referee: M Lien
Sarpsborg 08
T S U U U
2–1
Full-time
Brann
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 27%
20%
33%
Average goals
1,2
2,5
Scored
0,6
1,7
Conceded
0,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 10. · Brann 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 6 5 1 0 +12 16
2 Lillestrom 6 4 0 2 +1 12
3 Brann 6 3 2 1 +5 11
4 Odd 7 2 3 2 +0 9
5 Viking 5 2 2 1 +5 8
6 Tromso 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Stabaek 5 2 2 1 +0 8
8 Molde 6 2 1 3 +4 7
9 Sandefjord 5 1 3 1 +2 6
10 Sarpsborg 08 5 1 3 1 +0 6
11 Valerenga 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 Rosenborg 6 1 3 2 -3 6
13 Ham-Kam 5 2 0 3 -5 6
14 Haugesund 5 1 2 2 -5 5
15 Stromsgodset 5 1 1 3 -3 4
16 Aalesund 6 0 1 5 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Brann
1–0 M. Maigaard
J. Soltvedt
23′
Mikkel Maigaard 🟨
28′
2–0 J. Andersen
R. Lundqvist
37′
Jeppe Andersen ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
40′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 N. Jensen Wassberg
↦ S. Heltne Nilsen
K. Opseth 🔁
↦ S. Martinsson Ngouali
61′
67′
🔁 D. Tufekcic
↦ F. Børsting
74′
🔁 F. Knudsen
↦ O. Didrik Blomberg
74′
🔁 I. Hjorteseth
↦ D. Møller Wolfe
79′
B. Finne 2–1
S. Skålevik 🔁
↦ J. Andersen
80′
M. Høyland 🔁
↦ A. Skipper
80′
Eirik Wichne 🟨
88′
88′
🔁 R. Holten
↦ J. Sery Larsen
S. Tibbling 🔁
↦ R. Lundqvist
90′
S. Christiansen 🔁
↦ E. Wichne
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
40 L. Øy G
32 E. Wichne D
4 B. Utvik D
31 A. Skipper D
17 J. Soltvedt D
18 S. Martinsson Ngouali M
29 V. Torp M
90 C. Baah M
8 J. Andersen M
25 M. Maigaard M
10 R. Lundqvist F
Bench (9)
22 K. Opseth
15 S. Skålevik
6 M. Høyland
11 S. Tibbling
72 S. Christiansen
7 M. Andersen
77 M. Welinder
21 A. Kristiansen
23 G. Mogensen

Coach: S. Billborn

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
13 S. Crone D
6 J. Sery Larsen D
21 R. Kristiansen D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
7 M. Rasmussen M
19 S. Heltne Nilsen M
8 F. Myhre M
10 F. Børsting F
11 B. Finne F
16 O. Didrik Blomberg F
Bench (7)
25 N. Jensen Wassberg
37 D. Tufekcic
3 F. Knudsen
31 I. Hjorteseth
43 R. Holten
32 J. Eikrem
12 E. Holmen Johansen

Coach: E. Horneland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.