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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
0–1
Full-time
Vitesse
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
3,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,5
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 17/15 matches
Win Ø 23%
12%
33%
Points per game
0,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
59%
67%
Both score Ø 60%
47%
73%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 18. · Vitesse 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 18 15 1 2 +28 46
2 Ajax 18 13 2 3 +37 41
3 AZ Alkmaar 18 12 2 4 +15 38
4 Zwolle 18 9 6 3 +5 33
5 Feyenoord 17 9 5 3 +21 32
6 Den Haag 17 8 2 7 -1 26
7 Utrecht 15 7 3 5 -3 24
8 Heerenveen 17 6 5 6 -3 23
9 VVV Venlo 18 5 7 6 -4 22
10 Heracles 18 6 4 8 -11 22
11 Excelsior 18 6 3 9 -6 21
12 Vitesse 15 5 5 5 +6 20
13 Groningen 18 5 5 8 +0 20
14 Willem II 18 4 4 10 -13 16
15 NAC Breda 18 4 4 10 -15 16
16 Twente 18 4 3 11 -9 15
17 Roda 18 3 2 13 -23 11
18 Sparta Rotterdam 17 2 5 10 -24 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Vitesse
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Matavž
↦ L. Castaignos
64′
M. Mount 0–1
M. Rashica
R. Ache 🔁
↦ R. Mühren
71′
Julian Chabot 🟨
74′
T. Verhaar 🔁
↦ I. Alhaft
75′
83′
🔁 A. Kruiswijk
↦ B. Linssen
C. Goodwin 🔁
↦ F. Holst
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 R. Kortsmit G
3 S. Fischer D
2 F. Holst D
5 S. Floranus D
4 J. Chabot D
8 R. Sanusi M
6 K. Dougall M
7 L. Brogno F
10 R. Mühren M
9 F. Friday F
11 I. Alhaft F
Bench (8)
18 R. Ache
16 T. Verhaar
14 C. Goodwin
15 A. Harroui
12 M. Breuer
13 M. Veenhoven
17 N. Proschwitz
30 L. Nienhuis

Coach: D. Advocaat

Vitesse

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
37 G. Kashia D
2 F. Dabo D
43 L. Faye D
50 T. Oude Kotte D
17 T. Serero M
10 T. Bruns M
7 M. Rashica F
19 M. Mount M
11 B. Linssen F
14 L. Castaignos F
Bench (9)
9 T. Matavž
6 A. Kruiswijk
48 J. Schuurman
21 M. Tørnes
23 M. Ali
24 J. Houwen
51 G. Bosz
16 M. van Bergen
29 J. Lelieveld

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.