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Eredivisie
Referee: Jeroen Manschot
Twente
T T U T S
1–1
Full-time
Vitesse
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,5
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 16/13 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
75%
69%
Both score Ø 63%
56%
69%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,9
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
6 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 13
1 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 15. · Vitesse 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 17 14 1 2 +27 43
2 Ajax 16 11 2 3 +34 35
3 AZ Alkmaar 16 11 2 3 +14 35
4 Zwolle 17 9 6 2 +9 33
5 Feyenoord 15 7 5 3 +10 26
6 Heerenveen 16 6 5 5 -1 23
7 Utrecht 13 7 2 4 -1 23
8 Den Haag 16 7 2 7 -5 23
9 Heracles 16 6 3 7 -9 21
10 Vitesse 13 5 4 4 +7 19
11 Groningen 16 4 5 7 -2 17
12 Excelsior 16 5 2 9 -8 17
13 VVV Venlo 16 3 7 6 -7 16
14 Willem II 17 4 4 9 -11 16
15 Twente 16 4 1 11 -9 13
16 NAC Breda 17 3 4 10 -17 13
17 Sparta Rotterdam 15 2 5 8 -13 11
18 Roda 16 3 2 11 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Vitesse
1–0 F. Jensen
O. Assaidi
14′
28′
M. Mount 1–1
N. Foor
Half-time 1–1
52′
🟨 Julian Lelieveld
57′
🟨 Mason Mount
61′
🔁 F. Dabo
↦ J. Lelieveld
M. Kvasina 🔁
↦ T. Boere
64′
71′
🔁 T. Matavž
↦ B. Linssen
83′
🟨 Luc Castaignos
A. Laukart 🔁
↦ O. Assaidi
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Twente

5-3-2
16 J. Drommel G
4 J. Hooiveld D
5 S. Thesker D
6 D. Trajkovski D
3 T. Lam D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
21 D. Holla M
19 F. Jensen M
8 O. Assaidi F
9 T. Boere F
Bench (8)
17 M. Kvasina
11 A. Laukart
14 R. Jensen
18 M. Liendl
26 J. Brondeel
28 J. van der Lely
30 D. George
34 A. Tighadouini

Coach: G. Verbeek

Vitesse

5-3-2
22 R. Pasveer G
37 G. Kashia D
5 M. Miazga D
29 J. Lelieveld D
43 L. Faye D
50 T. Oude Kotte D
25 N. Foor M
7 M. Rashica F
19 M. Mount M
11 B. Linssen F
14 L. Castaignos F
Bench (9)
2 F. Dabo
9 T. Matavž
16 M. van Bergen
17 T. Serero
23 M. Ali
24 J. Houwen
40 B. Bayazit
47 L. ten Teije
51 G. Bosz

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.