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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,5
2,8
Scored
3,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 54%
92%
15%
Points per game
2,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
69%
54%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
4,2
2,5
Scored
3,1
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
22 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 5
6 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Sparta Rotterdam 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 12 0 1 +26 36
2 AZ Alkmaar 14 10 1 3 +9 31
3 Ajax 14 9 2 3 +29 29
4 Zwolle 14 7 5 2 +7 26
5 Feyenoord 14 7 4 3 +10 25
6 Utrecht 12 6 2 4 -2 20
7 Vitesse 12 5 3 4 +7 18
8 Heerenveen 12 5 3 4 -1 18
9 Heracles 14 5 3 6 -5 18
10 Excelsior 13 5 2 6 -3 17
11 Den Haag 13 5 2 6 -4 17
12 Groningen 14 4 3 7 -2 15
13 VVV Venlo 14 3 6 5 -6 15
14 Willem II 14 4 2 8 -10 14
15 Sparta Rotterdam 13 2 5 6 -11 11
16 Twente 14 3 1 10 -9 10
17 NAC Breda 13 2 3 8 -17 9
18 Roda 13 2 1 10 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Sparta Rotterdam
Steven Bergwijn 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
L. de Jong 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
46′
1–0 L. de Jong
J. Brenet
52′
56′
🔁 M. Veenhoven
↦ K. Dougall
76′
🔁 L. Brogno
↦ C. Goodwin
B. Ramselaar 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
77′
82′
🔁 R. Ache
↦ M. Breuer
D. Luckassen 🔁
↦ H. Lozano
85′
86′
🟨 Frederik Holst
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
10 M. van Ginkel M
8 J. Hendrix M
19 J. Locadia F
7 G. Pereiro M
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (12)
9 L. de Jong
23 B. Ramselaar
3 D. Luckassen
13 E. Room
14 S. Lammers
16 D. Rigo
18 P. Rosario
25 A. Maher
29 Albert Gudmundsson
31 Y. van Osch
32 K. Paal
50 A. Obispo

Coach: P. Cocu

Sparta Rotterdam

5-3-2
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 M. Breuer D
6 S. Fischer D
2 F. Holst D
3 S. Floranus D
8 R. Sanusi M
4 K. Dougall M
7 D. Duarte M
9 N. Proschwitz F
10 R. Mühren M
11 C. Goodwin M
Bench (11)
12 M. Veenhoven
15 L. Brogno
19 R. Ache
16 J. Chabot
20 A. Craninx
14 F. Bambock
22 L. Nienhuis
13 N. Marfelt
17 I. Alhaft
18 T. Verhaar
21 P. van Moorsel

Coach: A. Pastoor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.