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Eliteserien
Referee: R Saggi
Aalesund
T U T S T
0–3
Full-time
Odd
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Odd
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,7
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 22%
15%
29%
Points per game
0,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
62%
21%
Both score Ø 34%
38%
29%
Average goals
2,6
1,8
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,82 xG 2,56
34% Possession 66%
16 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Odd 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 14 11 2 1 +23 +0.3 35
2 Tromso 13 8 3 2 +6 +1.6 27
3 Molde 15 8 2 5 +15 +5.9 26
4 Viking 13 8 2 3 +9 26
5 Brann 14 7 3 4 +8 -3.7 24
6 Sarpsborg 08 13 6 3 4 +6 +0.5 21
7 Stromsgodset 13 6 2 5 +3 -0.5 20
8 Lillestrom 12 6 2 4 +2 +1.8 20
9 Stabaek 13 4 4 5 -5 +0.9 16
10 Odd 14 4 4 6 -5 -0.3 16
11 Haugesund 13 4 3 6 -7 15
12 Rosenborg 14 3 4 7 -6 -1.8 13
13 Valerenga 13 3 2 8 -8 -3.9 11
14 Sandefjord 12 2 4 6 -8 -0.9 10
15 Ham-Kam 13 3 1 9 -17 +0.6 10
16 Aalesund 13 2 1 10 -16 -0.6 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Odd
David Fällman 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Espen Ruud
46′
A. Munksgaard 1–0
own goal
Isaac Atanga 🟨
63′
Kristoffer Barmen 🟨
65′
68′
ℹ️ Steffen Hagen
VAR: Goal cancelled
69′
ℹ️ Steffen Hagen
VAR: Goal cancelled
70′
E. Ruud 1–1
F. Jørgensen
N. Hopland 🔁
↦ A. Andersen
72′
75′
D. Tomas 1–2
E. Ruud
H. Melland 🔁
↦ K. Barmen
80′
M. Diop 🔁
↦ B. Kristensen
80′
K. Lunding 🔁
↦ I. Atanga
80′
S. Haram 🔁
↦ D. Fällman
87′
93′
🔁 J. Skau
↦ L. Owusu
93′
🔁 M. Ingebrigtsen
↦ J. Baccay
93′
🔁 A. Ryste
↦ O. Midtskogen
93′
🔁 T. Rekdal
↦ S. Owusu
93′
🔁 S. Skjeldal
↦ D. Gjengaar
Kasper Lunding 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

4-3-3
1 S. Grytebust G
31 A. Munksgaard D
5 D. Fällman D
30 A. Andersen D
25 J. Kitolano D
10 K. Barmen M
6 E. Segberg M
22 M. Karlsbakk M
19 I. Atanga F
29 B. Kristensen F
15 K. Ødemarksbakken F
Bench (9)
4 N. Hopland
37 H. Melland
27 M. Diop
7 K. Lunding
33 S. Haram
2 T. Murray
14 O. Kolskogen
21 A. Diop
13 M. Lansing

Coach: C. Johnsen

Odd

5-4-1
12 L. Wahlstedt G
2 E. Ruud D
15 S. Johansen D
5 D. Tomas D
21 S. Hagen D
3 J. Baccay D
24 D. Gjengaar M
6 L. Owusu M
17 S. Owusu M
7 F. Jørgensen M
11 O. Midtskogen F
Bench (9)
26 J. Skau
10 M. Ingebrigtsen
23 A. Ryste
20 T. Rekdal
13 S. Skjeldal
29 B. Bang-Kittelsen
30 P. Nygaard Klausen
4 L. Hien
16 C. Glenna

Coach: P. Johansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.