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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Nyberg

Elfsborg

S U S S S

1–1

Full-time

Goteborg

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Goteborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

2,3

0,5

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-1,2

This season — Allsvenskan · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

79%

Points per game

2,5

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

57%

29%

Both score Ø 40%

43%

36%

Average goals

3,1

2,1

Scored

2,4

0,9

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,17 xG 0,14

69% Possession 31%

15 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 0

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 2. · Goteborg 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	16	11	2	3	+24	-0.3	35
2	Elfsborg	14	11	2	1	+24	+2.0	35
3	Malmo FF	14	11	1	2	+23	+0.6	34
4	Djurgarden	15	8	3	4	+5	–	27
5	Halmstad	15	7	3	5	-3	-0.5	24
6	Kalmar	14	6	4	4	+0	-2.0	22
7	Norrkoping	14	5	4	5	+2	+0.5	19
8	Mjallby	14	5	4	5	-2	-0.6	19
9	Hammarby	15	5	4	6	-5	+0.1	19
10	Brommapojkarna	15	6	1	8	-5	+0.3	19
11	Sirius	15	4	5	6	-4	-0.3	17
12	Varnamo	15	5	1	9	-5	+0.1	16
13	Degerfors	16	4	2	10	-24	+0.2	14
14	AIK	14	2	4	8	-7	–	10
15	Goteborg	14	1	5	8	-6	-0.8	8
16	Varberg	14	1	5	8	-17	+0.8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	8	7	1	0	+11	–	22
2	Hacken	8	7	0	1	+18	-0.3	21
3	Malmo FF	8	6	1	1	+15	+0.6	19
4	Elfsborg	7	5	1	1	+15	–	16
5	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+4	–	13
6	Kalmar	7	4	1	2	+0	-2.0	13
7	Halmstad	8	3	3	2	+1	-0.1	12
8	Degerfors	9	3	2	4	-4	+0.2	11
9	Mjallby	7	2	3	2	+2	–	9
10	Norrkoping	7	2	2	3	-1	+0.5	8
11	Sirius	7	2	1	4	-2	-0.1	7
12	Brommapojkarna	7	2	1	4	-2	–	7
13	AIK	7	1	3	3	-3	–	6
14	Varnamo	7	2	0	5	-3	–	6
15	Goteborg	7	1	2	4	+2	-0.8	5
16	Varberg	7	0	3	4	-11	–	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	7	6	1	0	+9	+2.0	19
2	Malmo FF	6	5	0	1	+8	–	15
3	Hacken	8	4	2	2	+6	–	14
4	Brommapojkarna	8	4	0	4	-3	+0.3	12
5	Halmstad	7	4	0	3	-4	-0.5	12
6	Norrkoping	7	3	2	2	+3	–	11
7	Sirius	8	2	4	2	-2	-0.2	10
8	Varnamo	8	3	1	4	-2	+0.1	10
9	Mjallby	7	3	1	3	-4	-0.6	10
10	Kalmar	7	2	3	2	+0	–	9
11	Hammarby	9	1	3	5	-9	+0.1	6
12	Djurgarden	7	1	2	4	-6	–	5
13	Varberg	7	1	2	4	-6	+0.8	5
14	AIK	7	1	1	5	-4	–	4
15	Goteborg	7	0	3	4	-8	–	3
16	Degerfors	7	1	0	6	-20	–	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.