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Eliteserien

Referee: S Kringstad

Lillestrom

T S U T S

4–2

Full-time

Sandefjord

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sandefjord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,3

This season — Eliteserien · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

67%

42%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

3,89 xG 1,19

58% Possession 42%

22 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 8. · Sandefjord 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	11	2	1	+23	+0.3	35
2	Tromso	13	8	3	2	+6	+1.6	27
3	Molde	15	8	2	5	+15	+5.9	26
4	Viking	13	8	2	3	+9	–	26
5	Brann	14	7	3	4	+8	-3.7	24
6	Sarpsborg 08	13	6	3	4	+6	+0.5	21
7	Stromsgodset	13	6	2	5	+3	-0.5	20
8	Lillestrom	12	6	2	4	+2	+1.8	20
9	Stabaek	13	4	4	5	-5	+0.9	16
10	Odd	14	4	4	6	-5	-0.3	16
11	Haugesund	13	4	3	6	-7	–	15
12	Rosenborg	14	3	4	7	-6	-1.8	13
13	Valerenga	13	3	2	8	-8	-3.9	11
14	Sandefjord	12	2	4	6	-8	-0.9	10
15	Ham-Kam	13	3	1	9	-17	+0.6	10
16	Aalesund	13	2	1	10	-16	-0.6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	5	2	0	+14	–	17
2	Brann	7	5	2	0	+11	–	17
3	Molde	7	5	1	1	+11	+3.7	16
4	Viking	7	5	1	1	+10	–	16
5	Stromsgodset	6	4	0	2	+5	-0.5	12
6	Stabaek	7	3	3	1	+4	–	12
7	Haugesund	6	3	2	1	+2	–	11
8	Tromso	7	3	2	2	+1	+1.6	11
9	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	1	2	+4	–	10
10	Ham-Kam	7	3	1	3	-1	+0.6	10
11	Rosenborg	8	3	1	4	-2	-1.8	10
12	Lillestrom	6	3	0	3	+1	–	9
13	Sandefjord	5	2	2	1	+6	-0.9	8
14	Odd	6	2	2	2	+0	-0.3	8
15	Aalesund	7	2	1	4	-4	–	7
16	Valerenga	7	1	0	6	-8	-2.2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	6	0	1	+9	+0.3	18
2	Tromso	6	5	1	0	+5	–	16
3	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	2	2	+2	+0.5	11
4	Lillestrom	6	3	2	1	+1	+1.8	11
5	Molde	8	3	1	4	+4	+2.2	10
6	Viking	6	3	1	2	-1	–	10
7	Valerenga	6	2	2	2	+0	-1.6	8
8	Stromsgodset	7	2	2	3	-2	–	8
9	Odd	8	2	2	4	-5	–	8
10	Brann	7	2	1	4	-3	-3.7	7
11	Stabaek	6	1	1	4	-9	+0.9	4
12	Haugesund	7	1	1	5	-9	–	4
13	Rosenborg	6	0	3	3	-4	–	3
14	Sandefjord	7	0	2	5	-14	–	2
15	Aalesund	6	0	0	6	-12	-0.6	0
16	Ham-Kam	6	0	0	6	-16	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.