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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kooij

NAC Breda

S S T S S

1–2

Full-time

FC Emmen

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda FC Emmen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

4,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

3,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,8

This season — Eredivisie · 2/34 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

18%

Points per game

3,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

56%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

56%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%

14 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	34	25	7	2	+51	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	34	23	6	5	+49	75
3	Ajax	34	20	9	5	+48	69
4	AZ Alkmaar	34	20	7	7	+33	67
5	Twente	30	18	7	5	+40	61
6	Sparta Rotterdam	30	17	6	7	+28	57
7	Utrecht	32	13	9	10	+0	48
8	Heerenveen	32	11	9	12	-7	42
9	Waalwijk	34	11	8	15	-14	41
10	Vitesse	34	10	10	14	-5	40
11	Go Ahead Eagles	34	10	10	14	-10	40
12	Nijmegen	34	8	15	11	-3	39
13	For Sittard	34	10	6	18	-23	36
14	Volendam	34	10	6	18	-29	36
15	Excelsior	34	9	5	20	-39	32
16	FC Emmen	34	6	10	18	-32	28
17	Cambuur	34	5	4	25	-43	19
18	Groningen	34	4	6	24	-44	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	14	2	1	+40	44
2	Twente	15	13	2	0	+35	41
3	Feyenoord	17	12	4	1	+27	40
4	Ajax	17	10	5	2	+33	35
5	AZ Alkmaar	17	9	5	3	+16	32
6	Sparta Rotterdam	15	10	1	4	+17	31
7	Waalwijk	17	9	3	5	+8	30
8	Volendam	17	9	1	7	-3	28
9	Go Ahead Eagles	17	7	6	4	+5	27
10	Utrecht	16	7	5	4	+3	26
11	Excelsior	17	8	2	7	-4	26
12	Vitesse	17	5	6	6	-1	21
13	For Sittard	17	5	4	8	-7	19
14	Nijmegen	17	3	9	5	+0	18
15	Heerenveen	16	5	3	8	-6	18
16	FC Emmen	17	3	9	5	-7	18
17	Groningen	17	3	3	11	-14	12
18	Cambuur	17	3	0	14	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	17	13	3	1	+24	42
2	AZ Alkmaar	17	11	2	4	+17	35
3	Ajax	17	10	4	3	+15	34
4	PSV Eindhoven	17	9	4	4	+9	31
5	Sparta Rotterdam	15	7	5	3	+11	26
6	Heerenveen	16	6	6	4	-1	24
7	Utrecht	16	6	4	6	-3	22
8	Nijmegen	17	5	6	6	-3	21
9	Twente	15	5	5	5	+5	20
10	Vitesse	17	5	4	8	-4	19
11	For Sittard	17	5	2	10	-16	17
12	Go Ahead Eagles	17	3	4	10	-15	13
13	Waalwijk	17	2	5	10	-22	11
14	Cambuur	17	2	4	11	-24	10
15	FC Emmen	17	3	1	13	-25	10
16	Volendam	17	1	5	11	-26	8
17	Groningen	17	1	3	13	-30	6
18	Excelsior	17	1	3	13	-35	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.