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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
FC Emmen
S T T S S
1–1
Full-time
NAC Breda
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 34/1 matches
Win Ø 61%
21%
100%
Points per game
0,9
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
59%
100%
Both score Ø 80%
59%
100%
Average goals
3,2
5,0
Scored
1,2
4,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

72% Possession 28%
31 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
17 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 34 28 4 2 +79 88
2 PSV Eindhoven 34 21 9 4 +39 72
3 AZ Alkmaar 34 21 8 5 +34 71
4 Vitesse 34 18 7 9 +14 61
5 Feyenoord 33 17 9 7 +30 60
6 Utrecht 33 14 12 7 +12 54
7 Groningen 34 14 7 13 +2 49
8 Sparta Rotterdam 34 13 7 14 -1 46
9 Heracles 34 12 8 14 -11 44
10 Twente 34 10 11 13 -2 41
11 For Sittard 34 12 5 17 -8 41
12 Heerenveen 34 9 12 13 -6 39
13 Zwolle 34 9 11 14 -9 38
14 Willem II 34 8 7 19 -28 31
15 Waalwijk 34 7 9 18 -22 30
16 FC Emmen 34 7 9 18 -28 30
17 VVV Venlo 34 6 5 23 -48 23
18 Den Haag 34 4 10 20 -47 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Emmen NAC Breda
16′
L. Immers 0–1
R. Hendriks
34′
🟨 Marouan Azarkan
Half-time 0–1
58′
🟨 Ramon Hendriks
P. Gladon 🔁
↦ L. Adžić
60′
61′
🔁 D. Maatsen
↦ M. Azarkan
61′
🔁 M. Maria
↦ K. de Rooij
N. Laursen 🔁
↦ L. Bernadou
70′
Sergio Peña 🟨
71′
78′
🔁 M. Bilate
↦ L. Immers
0–2 R. Hendriks
own goal
80′
H. Ben Moussa 🔁
↦ J. Vlak
105′
K. Veendorp 🔁
↦ C. Cavlan
105′
113′
🔁 C. Rösler
↦ R. Hendriks
118′
🔁 S. van Hooijdonk
↦ D. Maatsen
118′
🔁 A. Jansen
↦ M. Bilate
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
28 M. Verrips G
22 C. Cavlan D
5 M. Araujo D
4 N. Bakker D
23 G. Bijl D
10 S. Peña M
24 L. Bernadou M
20 J. Vlak M
8 M. de Leeuw F
31 K. Frei M
77 L. Adžić M
Bench (12)
17 P. Gladon
11 N. Laursen
21 H. Ben Moussa
3 K. Veendorp
35 J. Rhyner
32 R. de Vos
26 D. Telgenkamp
93 S. van der Lei
34 R. van Rhijn
7 S. Tibbling
9 M. Kolar
15 D. La Torre

Coach: D. Lukkien

NAC Breda

4-3-3
1 N. Olij G
4 M. Adilehou D
2 R. Schouten D
14 R. Hendriks D
9 L. Immers F
20 D. Malone D
33 T. Haye M
8 M. El Allouchi M
6 L. Fiorini M
40 M. Azarkan F
7 K. de Rooij F
Bench (12)
12 D. Maatsen
5 M. Maria
42 M. Bilate
24 C. Rösler
17 S. van Hooijdonk
19 A. Jansen
55 D. McIntosh-Buffonge
16 C. Kramer
23 R. Kortsmit
25 A. Kali
11 N. Venema
21 M. Rutten

Coach: M. Steijn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.