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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Mendes

Boavista

T T T U S

1–0

Full-time

Vitoria Setubal

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Vitoria Setubal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

27%

33%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

47%

33%

Both score Ø 47%

53%

40%

Average goals

2,3

2,1

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

17 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

24 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Boavista 11. · Vitoria Setubal 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	16	13	2	1	+26	41
2	Porto	16	10	5	1	+21	35
3	Sp Braga	16	10	3	3	+14	33
4	Sp Lisbon	15	9	3	3	+12	30
5	Guimaraes	16	9	3	4	+8	30
6	Rio Ave	16	7	3	6	+0	24
7	Chaves	16	5	8	3	+2	23
8	Maritimo	16	7	2	7	-1	23
9	Arouca	16	6	2	8	-5	20
10	Vitoria Setubal	15	5	4	6	+0	19
11	Boavista	15	4	5	6	-2	17
12	Belenenses	15	4	5	6	-5	17
13	Pacos Ferreira	16	4	5	7	-7	17
14	Estoril	16	4	3	9	-8	15
15	Feirense	15	4	2	9	-18	14
16	Nacional	16	3	3	10	-11	12
17	Moreirense	15	3	2	10	-12	11
18	Tondela	16	2	4	10	-14	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	Porto	8	7	1	0	+12	22
3	Benfica	7	6	1	0	+15	19
4	Sp Lisbon	8	6	1	1	+12	19
5	Vitoria Setubal	8	4	1	3	+4	13
6	Maritimo	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Chaves	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Pacos Ferreira	8	3	4	1	+2	13
9	Rio Ave	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Guimaraes	8	3	3	2	+2	12
11	Arouca	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Belenenses	7	2	3	2	-1	9
13	Boavista	7	2	2	3	+1	8
14	Tondela	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Nacional	9	2	2	5	-7	8
16	Estoril	8	2	1	5	-4	7
17	Feirense	8	2	1	5	-10	7
18	Moreirense	7	1	2	4	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Guimaraes	8	6	0	2	+6	18
3	Porto	8	3	4	1	+9	13
4	Rio Ave	7	3	2	2	+1	11
5	Sp Lisbon	7	3	2	2	+0	11
6	Sp Braga	8	3	2	3	+0	11
7	Chaves	8	2	4	2	+0	10
8	Arouca	8	3	1	4	-4	10
9	Maritimo	9	3	1	5	-4	10
10	Boavista	8	2	3	3	-3	9
11	Belenenses	8	2	2	4	-4	8
12	Estoril	8	2	2	4	-4	8
13	Feirense	7	2	1	4	-8	7
14	Vitoria Setubal	7	1	3	3	-4	6
15	Moreirense	8	2	0	6	-8	6
16	Nacional	7	1	1	5	-4	4
17	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	1	6	-9	4
18	Tondela	8	0	2	6	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.