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Primeira Liga
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Nacional
T T T S T
0–2
Full-time
Boavista
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nacional Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 21%
21%
21%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 5
18 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nacional 15. · Boavista 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 15 12 2 1 +24 38
2 Porto 15 10 4 1 +21 34
3 Sp Braga 14 9 2 3 +13 29
4 Sp Lisbon 14 8 3 3 +11 27
5 Guimaraes 14 8 3 3 +9 27
6 Rio Ave 15 7 2 6 +0 23
7 Maritimo 15 6 2 7 -2 20
8 Chaves 14 4 7 3 +1 19
9 Belenenses 14 4 5 5 -4 17
10 Arouca 14 5 2 7 -5 17
11 Vitoria Setubal 14 4 4 6 -3 16
12 Pacos Ferreira 14 4 4 6 -5 16
13 Estoril 14 4 3 7 -6 15
14 Boavista 14 3 5 6 -4 14
15 Nacional 14 3 2 9 -9 11
16 Moreirense 14 3 2 9 -11 11
17 Feirense 14 3 2 9 -20 11
18 Tondela 14 2 4 8 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nacional Boavista
11′
E. Mahmudov 0–1
A. Schembri
32′
Renato Santos 0–2
Anderson Carvalho
Vítor Gonçalves 🔁
↦ Ali Ghazal
37′
38′
🟨 Emin Makhmudov
Half-time 0–2
N. Bonilla 🔁
↦ Witi
46′
Willyan 🔁
↦ Tiago Rodrigues
55′
Vitor Goncalves 🟨
56′
62′
🔁 Fábio Espinho
↦ E. Mahmudov
68′
🟨 Kamran Ağayev
68′
🔁 A. Bukia
↦ A. Schembri
88′
🔁 Carlos Santos
↦ Anderson Carvalho
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Nacional

4-3-3
1 Rui Silva G
2 V. García D
4 Tobias Figueiredo D
5 Sequeira D
3 César D
8 Washington Santana M
10 Tiago Rodrigues M
6 Ali Ghazal M
7 Salvador Agra M
23 Ricardo Gomes F
17 Witi M
Bench (7)
20 Vítor Gonçalves
11 N. Bonilla
28 Willyan
19 Jota
21 Roniel
36 S. Bolat
66 Geraldo

Coach: Manuel Machado

Boavista

4-2-3-1
1 K. Ağayev G
3 Lucas D
20 Edu Machado D
5 Talocha D
94 Philipe Sampaio D
30 A. Schembri F
15 E. Mahmudov M
27 Anderson Carvalho M
42 I. Mandiang M
7 Renato Santos M
45 Iuri Medeiros F
Bench (7)
10 Fábio Espinho
95 A. Bukia
22 Carlos Santos
9 Idelino
17 Carraça
25 M. Ba
28 Tiago Mesquita

Coach: Miguel Leal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Joao Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.