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Primeira Liga
Referee: Bruno Miguel Duarte Paixao
Feirense
U S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Tondela
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feirense Tondela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 24
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Feirense Tondela
28′
⚽ Cris 1–0
own goal
Luís Aurélio 🟨
40′
Sergio Barge 🟨
42′
Luís Rocha 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Murilo Freitas
2–0 Hugo Seco ⚽
51′
61′
🔁 Tómané
↦ Eli
61′
🔁 Wagner
↦ Murilo
Hugo Seco 🟨
70′
José Valencia 🔁
↦ Babanco
81′
82′
🔁 Bruno Monteiro
↦ Pedro Nuno
Gustavo Ermel 🔁
↦ Hugo Seco
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Feirense

4-2-3-1
22 Caio Secco G
35 Sérgio Barge D
13 Luís Rocha D
32 Flavio D
28 J. Alcenat D
17 Cris M
5 Babanco M
30 Luís Aurélio M
8 Tiago Silva M
77 Hugo Seco M
10 O. Etebo M
Bench (6)
20 José Valencia
11 Gustavo Ermel
9 Luis Henrique
7 Luís Machado
14 Bruno Nascimento
15 K. Alphonse

Coach: Nuno Santos

Tondela

4-4-1-1
1 Cláudio Ramos G
20 Ricardo Costa D
22 David Bruno D
7 Claude Gonçalves M
8 Hélder Tavares M
5 Pité D
10 Pedro Nuno M
9 T. Boyd M
99 Eli F
24 Y. Osorio D
77 Murilo M
Bench (7)
19 Tómané
28 Wagner
27 Bruno Monteiro
12 Ricardo Janota
17 Joca
40 Junior Pius
14 M. Zachara

Coach: Pepa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Bruno Miguel Duarte Paixao · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,58 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.