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Primeira Liga
Referee: Vitor Ferreira
Portimonense
S T T
1–2
Full-time
Maritimo
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,7
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Portimonense 13. · Maritimo 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Porto 4 4 0 0 +9 12
3 Benfica 4 3 1 0 +8 10
4 Rio Ave 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Feirense 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Maritimo 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Sp Braga 4 2 0 2 +0 6
8 Estoril 4 2 0 2 -1 6
9 Tondela 4 1 1 2 +1 4
10 Belenenses 4 1 1 2 -5 4
11 Guimaraes 4 1 1 2 -7 4
12 Vitoria Setubal 4 0 3 1 -1 3
13 Portimonense 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Boavista 4 1 0 3 -2 3
15 Pacos Ferreira 4 0 2 2 -2 2
16 Moreirense 4 0 2 2 -6 2
17 Chaves 4 0 1 3 -4 1
18 Aves 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Portimonense Maritimo
16′
🟨 João Gamboa
24′
🟨 Everton
Half-time 0–0
Pires 🔁
↦ Wellington Carvalho
46′
Ewerton 🟨
52′
69′
⚽ Edgar Costa 0–1
Jean Cleber
74′
🔁 Rodrigo Pinho
↦ Everton
75′
🟨 Gildo
Wilson Manafá 🔁
↦ Ricardo Pessoa
79′
1–1 Pires ⚽
Wilson Manafá
86′
91′
🔁 Éber
↦ Edgar Costa
91′
⚽ Valente 1–2
Jean Cleber
94′
🔁 E. Şen
↦ Jean Cleber
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Portimonense

4-3-3
33 Ricardo Ferreira G
5 Ricardo Pessoa D
26 Ruben Fernandes D
3 Lucas D
15 L. Agbenyenu D
90 Fabricio F
10 Ewerton M
21 Pedro Sá M
11 Bruno Tabata M
8 Paulinho M
27 Wellington Carvalho F
Bench (7)
9 Pires
19 Wilson Manafá
1 Carlos Henriques
6 Theo Japa
7 Dener
13 Felipe Macedo
14 E. Hackman

Coach: Vítor Oliveira

Maritimo

4-2-3-1
94 Charles G
23 Bebeto D
5 Zainadine Junior D
4 Pablo D
66 Fabio Pacheco M
15 Jean Cleber M
21 Gamboa M
25 Gildo F
12 Edgar Costa F
33 Valente M
93 Everton F
Bench (7)
9 Rodrigo Pinho
6 E. Şen
11 Éber
1 A. Abedzadeh
7 Ibson
29 Filipe Oliveira
30 Piqueti

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Vitor Ferreira · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.