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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Rio Ave

T U S S S

2–0

Full-time

Portimonense

S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

12 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 7

15 Free kicks against 11

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 4. · Portimonense 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Rio Ave	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Estoril	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Moreirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Feirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Aves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.