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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Carlos Santos Capela

Sp Braga

T T S T T

2–1

Full-time

Portimonense

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 21

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 17. · Portimonense 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Rio Ave	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Moreirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Feirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Aves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.