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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hugo Miguel

Moreirense

T S T S S

2–0

Full-time

Portimonense

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

33%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

12 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 7. · Portimonense 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	9	7	0	2	+14	21
2	Sp Braga	9	6	3	0	+10	21
3	Sp Lisbon	9	6	1	2	+7	19
4	Rio Ave	9	5	3	1	+5	18
5	Benfica	9	5	2	2	+6	17
6	Santa Clara	9	4	2	3	+3	14
7	Moreirense	9	4	1	4	-5	13
8	Guimaraes	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Vitoria Setubal	9	3	2	4	+1	11
10	Belenenses	9	2	5	2	-1	11
11	Portimonense	9	3	2	4	-4	11
12	Maritimo	9	3	1	5	-6	10
13	Tondela	9	2	3	4	+0	9
14	Feirense	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Boavista	9	2	2	5	-6	8
16	Aves	9	2	1	6	-5	7
17	Chaves	9	2	1	6	-7	7
18	Nacional	9	1	3	5	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Rio Ave	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Porto	5	4	0	1	+10	12
4	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+7	12
5	Benfica	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Portimonense	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Santa Clara	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Moreirense	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Maritimo	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Vitoria Setubal	4	2	0	2	+2	6
11	Feirense	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Tondela	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Guimaraes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Aves	4	1	1	2	+1	4
15	Chaves	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	Belenenses	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Boavista	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Nacional	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Sp Braga	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Benfica	4	2	1	1	+4	7
4	Santa Clara	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Belenenses	5	1	4	0	+1	7
7	Sp Lisbon	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Nacional	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Moreirense	5	2	0	3	-5	6
10	Rio Ave	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Tondela	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Boavista	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Feirense	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Maritimo	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Portimonense	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Aves	5	1	0	4	-6	3
18	Chaves	5	1	0	4	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.