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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Malheiro Pinto

Aves

T U T T T

3–0

Full-time

Portimonense

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aves Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

0,6

1,2

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

12 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aves 18. · Portimonense 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Porto	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	Benfica	6	4	2	0	+9	14
4	Sp Lisbon	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Rio Ave	6	4	1	1	+4	13
6	Maritimo	6	3	1	2	-1	10
7	Santa Clara	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Feirense	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Guimaraes	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Chaves	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Moreirense	6	2	1	3	-5	7
12	Belenenses	6	1	3	2	-3	6
13	Tondela	6	1	2	3	-1	5
14	Vitoria Setubal	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Boavista	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Portimonense	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Nacional	6	1	1	4	-9	4
18	Aves	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Sp Braga	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Rio Ave	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Benfica	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Maritimo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Feirense	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Chaves	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Tondela	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Portimonense	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Aves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Belenenses	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Nacional	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Porto	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Belenenses	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Sp Lisbon	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Boavista	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Nacional	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Feirense	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Moreirense	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Chaves	3	1	0	2	-5	3
15	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Aves	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.