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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Sp Braga

U S T S S

4–0

Full-time

Feirense

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Feirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

42%

25%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 3. · Feirense 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	12	10	0	2	+19	30
2	Sp Lisbon	12	9	1	2	+13	28
3	Sp Braga	12	8	3	1	+12	27
4	Benfica	12	8	2	2	+13	26
5	Guimaraes	12	6	3	3	+5	21
6	Rio Ave	12	5	3	4	+1	18
7	Belenenses	12	4	6	2	+1	18
8	Santa Clara	12	5	2	5	+1	17
9	Vitoria Setubal	13	5	2	6	+0	17
10	Portimonense	13	5	2	6	-6	17
11	Moreirense	12	5	1	6	-6	16
12	Nacional	12	3	4	5	-8	13
13	Maritimo	12	3	2	7	-8	11
14	Boavista	12	2	4	6	-7	10
15	Aves	12	3	1	8	-8	10
16	Feirense	12	2	4	6	-8	10
17	Tondela	12	2	3	7	-4	9
18	Chaves	12	2	1	9	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	7	6	0	1	+14	18
2	Sp Lisbon	6	6	0	0	+11	18
3	Sp Braga	6	5	1	0	+8	16
4	Portimonense	7	4	2	1	+4	14
5	Benfica	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	Rio Ave	6	4	1	1	+3	13
7	Guimaraes	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Moreirense	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Vitoria Setubal	6	3	0	3	+2	9
10	Belenenses	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Aves	6	2	1	3	+1	7
12	Feirense	6	1	4	1	+0	7
13	Santa Clara	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Maritimo	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Tondela	7	1	2	4	-3	5
16	Chaves	5	1	1	3	-1	4
17	Boavista	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Nacional	6	1	1	4	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	4	1	1	+7	13
2	Porto	5	4	0	1	+5	12
3	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Sp Lisbon	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Guimaraes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Santa Clara	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Belenenses	6	2	4	0	+2	10
8	Nacional	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Vitoria Setubal	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Boavista	7	1	3	3	-4	6
11	Moreirense	6	2	0	4	-7	6
12	Rio Ave	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Tondela	5	1	1	3	-1	4
14	Maritimo	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	Feirense	6	1	0	5	-8	3
16	Chaves	7	1	0	6	-9	3
17	Aves	6	1	0	5	-9	3
18	Portimonense	6	1	0	5	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.