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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Charleroi
T S S S U
2–0
Full-time
Gent
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 18/12 matches
Win Ø 56%
44%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 77%
78%
75%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,6
2,3
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
8 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 3. · Gent 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 18 8 7 3 +10 31
2 Antwerp 12 9 1 2 +11 28
3 Charleroi 18 8 3 7 +4 27
4 Gent 12 8 2 2 +14 26
5 Genk 12 7 4 1 +16 25
6 Anderlecht 12 7 3 2 +10 24
7 Club Brugge 12 7 2 3 +15 23
8 Kortrijk 18 6 5 7 -4 23
9 Cercle Brugge 18 6 4 8 -12 22
10 Oostende 18 6 4 8 -12 22
11 Standard 12 5 5 2 +8 20
12 Eupen 18 6 1 11 -16 19
13 Waregem 18 4 5 9 -10 17
14 Beveren 18 2 8 8 -7 14
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 18 3 5 10 -11 14
16 Lokeren 18 2 5 11 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Gent
12′
🟨 Dylan Bronn
18′
🟨 Anderson Esiti
43′
🟨 Roman Yaremchuk
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Lovre Kalinić
Gaetan Hendrickx 🟨
60′
63′
🔁 Stallone Limbombe
↦ Franko Andrijašević
David Henen 🔁
↦ Gjoko Zajkov
69′
Massimo Bruno 🔁
↦ Jérémy Perbet
70′
79′
🔁 Taiwo Awoniyi
↦ Roman Yaremchuk
1–0 Victor Osimhen
Massimo Bruno
86′
88′
🔁 Jonathan Christian David
↦ Thibault De Smet
2–0 Massimo Bruno
90′
Adama Niane 🟨
90′
Adama Niane 🔁
↦ Victor Osimhen
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

5-3-2
1 Nicolas Penneteau G
33 Gabriele Angella D
25 Núrio D
24 Dorian Dessoleil D
17 Stergos Marinos D
6 Gjoko Zajkov D
14 Cristian Benavente M
22 Gaetan Hendrickx M
13 Christophe Diandy M
45 Victor Osimhen F
10 Jérémy Perbet F
Bench (8)
15 Valentin Baume
5 Dorian Dervite
4 Maxime Busi
20 Nathan Rodes
39 David Henen
9 Adama Niane
29 Romain Grange
77 Massimo Bruno

Coach: P. Amodio

Gent

4-4-2
91 Lovre Kalinić G
2 Arnaud Souquet D
4 Sigurd Rosted D
28 Dylan Bronn D
29 Thibault De Smet D
8 Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe M
19 Brecht Dejaegere M
23 Franko Andrijašević M
44 Anderson Esiti M
7 Giorgi Chakvetadze M
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
Bench (7)
20 Yannick Thoelen
5 Igor Plastun
76 Timothy Derijck
9 Stallone Limbombe
3 Eric Smith
16 Jonathan Christian David
18 Taiwo Awoniyi

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.