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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Manuel Gomes Costa
Chaves
S T U T U
1–1
Full-time
Rio Ave
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chaves Rio Ave
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 25%
21%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
46%
63%
Both score Ø 59%
42%
75%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
20 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Chaves 17. · Rio Ave 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 24 19 2 3 +45 59
2 Porto 24 18 3 3 +34 57
3 Sp Braga 24 16 4 4 +18 52
4 Sp Lisbon 24 15 4 5 +21 49
5 Moreirense 24 13 3 8 +2 42
6 Guimaraes 24 11 6 7 +7 39
7 Belenenses 24 9 9 6 +6 36
8 Santa Clara 24 9 4 11 +0 31
9 Rio Ave 24 7 7 10 -3 28
10 Portimonense 24 8 4 12 -9 28
11 Boavista 24 7 5 12 -11 26
12 Nacional 24 7 5 12 -22 26
13 Aves 24 7 4 13 -12 25
14 Vitoria Setubal 24 5 9 10 -6 24
15 Maritimo 24 7 3 14 -13 24
16 Tondela 24 6 5 13 -11 23
17 Chaves 24 5 5 14 -18 20
18 Feirense 24 2 8 14 -28 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chaves Rio Ave
William 🟨
8′
8′
🟨 Filipe Augusto
Djavan 🟨
17′
22′
🟨 Filipe Augusto
22′
🟥 Filipe Augusto
Costinha 🟨
24′
27′
Rúben Semedo 0–1
Fábio Coentrão
30′
🔁 Leandrinho
↦ Bruno Moreira
33′
🟨 Wenderson Galeno
Jefferson 🟨
35′
36′
🟨 Tarantini
40′
🟨 Fábio Coentrão
Half-time 0–1
G. Ghazaryan 🔁
↦ Jefferson
46′
R. Bressan 🔁
↦ Costinha
46′
65′
🔁 Gabrielzinho
↦ Carlos
71′
🟨 Léo Jardim
72′
🟨 Nadjack
André Luis 🔁
↦ Bruno Gallo
74′
1–1 Niltinho
André Luis
82′
90′
🟨 Ronan
90′
🔁 S. Said
↦ Ronan
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Chaves

4-2-3-1
1 António Filipe G
33 Lionn D
26 Djavan Ferreira D
19 N. Maraš D
22 G. Campi D
25 Bruno Gallo M
20 Costinha M
6 Jefferson M
55 L. Singh M
11 William F
30 Niltinho M
Bench (7)
9 G. Ghazaryan
12 R. Bressan
14 André Luis
40 N. Ćalasan
47 Rúben Macedo
5 Filipe Melo
50 João Kuspiosz

Coach: Tiago Fernandes

Rio Ave

4-4-2
20 Leonardo G
17 Fábio Coentrão D
3 Rúben Semedo D
22 Nadjack D
33 Messias D
8 Tarantini M
18 Filipe Augusto M
9 Bruno Moreira F
13 Carlos
19 Ronan F
90 Galeno M
Bench (7)
21 Leandrinho
26 Gabrielzinho
14 S. Said
6 T. Borevković
2 Matheus Reis
29 Paulo Vitor
7 Murilo

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rui Manuel Gomes Costa · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.