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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
Utrecht
T T U S U
0–0
Full-time
Groningen
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 37%
38%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 49%
52%
45%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 7
5 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 7. · Groningen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 24 19 4 1 +60 61
2 Ajax 23 18 2 3 +62 56
3 Feyenoord 24 14 4 6 +23 46
4 AZ Alkmaar 24 13 4 7 +21 43
5 Heracles 22 11 2 9 +1 35
6 Vitesse 21 9 6 6 +8 33
7 Utrecht 21 8 6 7 +2 30
8 Heerenveen 24 7 9 8 -1 30
9 VVV Venlo 24 8 5 11 -12 29
10 Groningen 22 8 4 10 -1 28
11 Willem II 24 8 4 12 -9 28
12 Den Haag 24 7 7 10 -15 28
13 For Sittard 24 7 5 12 -16 26
14 Excelsior 24 7 5 12 -24 26
15 Zwolle 23 7 4 12 -12 25
16 FC Emmen 24 6 6 12 -28 24
17 De Graafschap 24 6 4 14 -26 22
18 NAC Breda 24 4 5 15 -33 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Groningen
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Julian Chabot
O. Boussaid 🔁
↦ J. van Overeem
67′
72′
🟨 Ludovit Reis
73′
🔁 M. El Hankouri
↦ K. Sierhuis
N. Venema 🔁
↦ R. Bazoer
80′
87′
🔁 A. Hrustic
↦ I. Bel Hassani
Willem Janssen 🟨
88′
89′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ M. Mahi
90′
🟨 Ajdin Hrustic
90′
🟨 Thomas Bruns
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-4-2
1 D. Jensen G
14 W. Janssen D
15 T. Letschert D
17 S. Klaiber D
8 J. van Overeem M
23 R. Bazoer M
22 S. van de Streek M
24 N. Gavory D
10 Simon Gustafson M
30 M. Kramer F
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (8)
26 O. Boussaid
29 N. Venema
28 U. Emanuelson
27 L. Görtler
6 R. Strieder
2 M. van der Maarel
16 N. Marsman
19 J. Bahebeck

Coach: D. Advocaat

Groningen

4-4-2
1 S. Padt G
4 M. te Wierik D
5 S. Memišević D
42 D. Zeefuik D
29 T. Handwerker D
24 J. Chabot D
8 I. Bel Hassani M
15 T. Bruns M
6 L. Reis M
10 M. Mahi F
9 K. Sierhuis F
Bench (9)
14 M. El Hankouri
23 A. Hrustic
19 P. Gladon
22 M. Breij
31 J. Hoekstra
16 K. Begois
12 L. Kramer
20 A. Absalem
36 T. van de Looi

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.