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Pro League
2–2
Full-time
Westerlo
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 9/12 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
78%
75%
Both score Ø 77%
78%
75%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 10. · Westerlo 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Anderlecht 7 5 2 0 +8 17
3 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +13 16
4 St Truiden 10 5 1 4 +4 16
5 Gent 7 4 3 0 +7 15
6 Genk 8 5 0 3 +1 15
7 Waregem 7 4 0 3 +1 12
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 3 3 6 -5 12
9 Beveren 9 4 0 5 -6 12
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 3 2 4 +0 11
11 Westerlo 12 2 4 6 -9 10
12 Charleroi 7 2 3 2 +1 9
13 Mechelen 9 2 3 4 -5 9
14 Kortrijk 8 1 4 3 -2 7
15 Lokeren 10 2 1 7 -7 7
16 Standard 9 2 1 6 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Westerlo
15′
E. Višņakovs 0–1
B. De Ceulaer
1–1 N. Aksentijević
35′
Half-time 1–2
1–2 K. Schuermans
own goal
63′
69′
🔁 M. Annys
↦ N. Schouterden
69′
🔁 M. Aoulad
↦ K. Hyland
F. Marković 🔁
↦ A. Badri
71′
M. Šćepović 🔁
↦ Tozé Marreco
76′
L. Vaccaro 🔁
↦ J. Michel
83′
84′
🔁 J. Koffi
↦ G. Ruyssen
91′
M. Aoulad 1–3
R. Lecomte
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
25 M. Oussalah
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
13 N. Aksentijević
5 D. Hubert
10 J. Michel
9 A. Badri
8 F. Marquet
90 Tozé Marreco
27 Frederic Maciel
Bench (7)
18 F. Marković
44 M. Šćepović
26 L. Vaccaro
11 D. Mohamed
12 T. Rausin
17 M. Jakoliš
55 C. Manea

Westerlo

30 K. Van Langendonck
3 F. Daems
2 M. Apau
24 J. Cools
17 K. Schuermans
22 G. Ruyssen
18 N. Schouterden
11 K. Hyland
7 R. Lecomte
10 B. De Ceulaer
90 E. Višņakovs
Bench (7)
8 M. Annys
14 M. Aoulad
9 J. Koffi
1 K. Van Hout
4 J. Trompet
5 N. Petković
16 J. Mustoe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.