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Pro League
Lokeren
T U T T S
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lokeren Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 23%
20%
25%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
40%
75%
Both score Ø 58%
40%
75%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 23%
20%
25%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
40%
75%
Both score Ø 58%
40%
75%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lokeren 13. · Royal Excel Mouscron 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 6 5 1 0 +9 16
2 St Truiden 7 4 1 2 +6 13
3 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +7 12
4 Club Brugge 6 3 1 2 +8 10
5 Genk 4 3 0 1 +3 9
6 Mechelen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 2 1 5 -4 7
8 Waregem 4 2 0 2 +1 6
9 Gent 4 1 3 0 +1 6
10 Beveren 4 2 0 2 -3 6
11 Westerlo 8 1 3 4 -7 6
12 Charleroi 4 1 2 1 -1 5
13 Lokeren 5 1 1 3 -3 4
14 Kortrijk 5 0 3 2 -2 3
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Standard 4 1 0 3 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lokeren Royal Excel Mouscron
4′
S. Ingason 1–0
own goal
2–0 A. Patosi
M. Ghadir
8′
42′
N. Dussenne 2–1
F. Marquet
Half-time 2–1
L. Enoh 🔁
↦ S. Ingason
46′
58′
🔁 N. Aksentijević
↦ F. Marković
C. Dessers 🔁
↦ M. Ghadir
61′
67′
🔁 Frederic Maciel
↦ M. Oussalah
E. Ansah 🔁
↦ M. Mirić
73′
82′
🔁 Tozé Marreco
↦ M. Šćepović
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lokeren

1 B. Barry
5 M. Marić
19 M. Tičinović
3 D. Odoi
15 S. Ingason
25 B. Ňinaj
8 K. Persoons
7 K. Overmeire
21 M. Mirić
11 M. Ghadir
10 A. Patosi
Bench (7)
29 L. Enoh
17 C. Dessers
23 E. Ansah
13 D. Verhulst
22 D. Melnjak
34 F. Starzyński
50 S. Bolbat

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
25 M. Oussalah
24 N. Gulan
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
29 T. Peyre
5 D. Hubert
10 J. Michel
8 F. Marquet
44 M. Šćepović
18 F. Marković
Bench (7)
13 N. Aksentijević
27 Frederic Maciel
90 Tozé Marreco
9 A. Badri
12 T. Rausin
26 L. Vaccaro
30 M. Pavlovski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.