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Pro League
Charleroi
U S S U S
1–0
Full-time
Kortrijk
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 26/28 matches
Win Ø 37%
38%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
62%
43%
Both score Ø 53%
62%
43%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 8. · Kortrijk 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 27 21 1 5 +47 64
2 Anderlecht 27 16 7 4 +18 55
3 Gent 27 15 7 5 +20 52
4 Genk 25 14 3 8 +15 45
5 Oostende 27 13 6 8 +9 45
6 Standard 30 13 3 14 -10 42
7 Kortrijk 28 10 9 9 +1 39
8 Charleroi 26 10 7 9 +6 37
9 Mechelen 30 10 7 13 -11 37
10 Lokeren 30 9 8 13 -3 35
11 Waregem 27 9 6 12 -3 33
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 9 14 -12 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 30 8 5 17 -18 29
16 Beveren 30 8 5 17 -24 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Kortrijk
Half-time 0–0
C. Tainmont 🔁
↦ S. Ninis
72′
D. Pollet 🔁
↦ E. Sağlık
84′
85′
🔁 N. Pavlović
↦ H. Kage
1–0 J. Perbet
D. Pollet
90′
G. François 🔁
↦ D. NDongala
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
3 S. Willems
29 S. Ninis
18 A. Baby
13 C. Diandy
28 E. Sağlık
88 D. N'Dongala
19 Clinton Mata
21 J. Perbet
Bench (7)
7 C. Tainmont
10 D. Pollet
22 G. François
5 B. Boulenger
6 G. Zajkov
35 P. Mandanda
92 L. Franco

Kortrijk

13 M. Sifakis
33 Ž. Tomašević
2 M. Chanot
20 S. Gigot
10 H. Kage
30 K. D'Haene
26 E. Rolland
5 B. Verstraete
11 A. Marušić
7 S. De Smet
9 A. Papazoglou
Bench (7)
8 N. Pavlović
3 F. Boyer
12 L. Van Eenoo
16 D. Keet
25 X. Mercier
44 T. Kiš
88 S. Sarr

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.