Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Kortrijk
Beveren
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Brugge
|
25 | 19 | 1 | 5 | +42 | 58 |
| 2 |
Gent
|
24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | +24 | 49 |
| 3 |
Anderlecht
|
24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | +17 | 49 |
| 4 |
Genk
|
22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | +16 | 42 |
| 5 |
Oostende
|
24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 39 |
| 6 |
Standard
|
28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | -11 | 39 |
| 7 |
Mechelen
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -3 | 36 |
| 8 |
Waregem
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +0 | 33 |
| 9 |
Charleroi
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 |
Kortrijk
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 |
Lokeren
|
27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 30 |
| 12 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -10 | 30 |
| 13 |
Westerlo
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -24 | 30 |
| 14 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 |
St Truiden
|
27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | -15 | 27 |
| 16 |
Beveren
|
27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -18 | 26 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Verstraete
A. Marušić
Jonathan Buatu
L. Jans
Hugo Sousa
S. Schrijvers
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Beveren
Kortrijk
Standard
Kortrijk
Kortrijk
Royal Excel Mouscron
Anderlecht
Kortrijk
Kortrijk
Waregem
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.