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Pro League
Charleroi
T T T U T
1–1
Full-time
St Truiden
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,3
This season — Pro League · 21/25 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
57%
64%
Both score Ø 55%
62%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 13. · St Truiden 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 22 18 1 3 +40 55
2 Gent 22 13 6 3 +22 45
3 Anderlecht 21 12 6 3 +15 42
4 Oostende 22 11 5 6 +9 38
5 Genk 20 11 3 6 +13 36
6 Mechelen 26 10 6 10 -2 36
7 Standard 25 11 2 12 -12 35
8 Waregem 21 9 5 7 +7 32
9 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
11 Lokeren 26 7 6 13 -8 27
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 6 9 11 -9 27
13 Charleroi 21 7 5 9 -2 26
14 Kortrijk 23 6 8 9 -7 26
15 St Truiden 25 8 2 15 -14 26
16 Beveren 26 7 5 14 -17 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi St Truiden
Half-time 0–0
S. Ninis 🔁
↦ E. Sağlık
46′
1–0 A. Baby
S. Ninis
47′
66′
🔁 Y. Boli
↦ Allan
68′
🔁 C. De Norre
↦ I. Swers
69′
S. Kotysch 1–1
A. De Sart
D. Pollet 🔁
↦ D. NDongala
75′
80′
🔁 V. Angban
↦ G. Hendrickx
C. Tainmont 🔁
↦ A. Baby
82′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
17 S. Marinos
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
3 S. Willems
25 D. Marcq
18 A. Baby
28 E. Sağlık
14 C. Benavente
88 D. N'Dongala
21 J. Perbet
Bench (7)
29 S. Ninis
10 D. Pollet
7 C. Tainmont
13 C. Diandy
19 Clinton Mata
24 D. Dessoleil
35 P. Mandanda

St Truiden

28 W. Dutoît
18 M. Bagayoko
19 Y. Erichot
23 S. Kotysch
15 C. Cuevas
14 P. Gerkens
6 G. Hendrickx
27 I. Swers
5 A. De Sart
22 Allan
33 N. Proschwitz
Bench (7)
11 Y. Boli
2 C. De Norre
29 V. Angban
1 Y. De Winter
10 M. Tchité
24 S. Nirisarike
26 Ruben Fernandes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.