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Pro League

Referee: Geldhof

St Truiden

S S T U T

2–1

Full-time

Mechelen

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

This season — Pro League · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 34%

23%

45%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

55%

41%

Both score Ø 48%

55%

41%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

35% Possession 65%

14 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 0

4 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Truiden 12. · Mechelen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	17	12	3	2	+16	39
2	Club Brugge	15	11	2	2	+26	35
3	Mechelen	22	10	5	7	+4	35
4	Standard	22	9	7	6	+12	34
5	Genk	22	10	4	8	-1	34
6	Anderlecht	14	10	2	2	+24	32
7	Oostende	14	9	2	3	+16	29
8	Gent	14	8	2	4	+8	26
9	Charleroi	15	7	5	3	+4	26
10	Lokeren	22	6	6	10	-6	24
11	Kortrijk	23	6	6	11	-15	24
12	St Truiden	22	5	5	12	-10	20
13	Eupen	22	5	5	12	-19	20
14	Beveren	21	4	7	10	-13	19
15	Westerlo	22	4	6	12	-21	18
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	23	4	3	16	-25	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	12	8	2	2	+9	26
2	Standard	11	7	2	2	+14	23
3	Mechelen	12	7	1	4	+6	22
4	Gent	7	7	0	0	+13	21
5	Club Brugge	8	6	2	0	+16	20
6	Waregem	8	6	2	0	+9	20
7	Anderlecht	7	6	0	1	+19	18
8	Oostende	8	5	2	1	+13	17
9	Charleroi	7	5	1	1	+4	16
10	St Truiden	11	4	4	3	+3	16
11	Beveren	11	4	4	3	+2	16
12	Kortrijk	11	4	3	4	+2	15
13	Lokeren	10	4	3	3	+1	15
14	Eupen	11	3	4	4	-5	13
15	Westerlo	10	2	3	5	-3	9
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	2	2	7	-13	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Club Brugge	7	5	0	2	+10	15
3	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+5	14
4	Mechelen	10	3	4	3	-2	13
5	Oostende	6	4	0	2	+3	12
6	Standard	11	2	5	4	-2	11
7	Charleroi	8	2	4	2	+0	10
8	Lokeren	12	2	3	7	-7	9
9	Kortrijk	12	2	3	7	-17	9
10	Westerlo	12	2	3	7	-18	9
11	Genk	10	2	2	6	-10	8
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	2	1	9	-12	7
13	Eupen	11	2	1	8	-14	7
14	Gent	7	1	2	4	-5	5
15	St Truiden	11	1	1	9	-13	4
16	Beveren	10	0	3	7	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.