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Pro League

Referee: Jonathan Lardot

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T T T T

1–4

Full-time

Mechelen

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,2

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 30%

18%

41%

Points per game

0,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

65%

41%

Both score Ø 47%

53%

41%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

2,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

5 Corners 3

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 15. · Mechelen 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	13	9	2	2	+13	29
2	Standard	17	8	4	5	+13	28
3	Anderlecht	12	8	2	2	+18	26
4	Gent	12	8	2	2	+12	26
5	Mechelen	17	7	4	6	-1	25
6	Kortrijk	18	6	6	6	-2	24
7	Genk	17	7	3	7	-6	24
8	Oostende	11	7	2	2	+15	23
9	Club Brugge	11	7	2	2	+15	23
10	Charleroi	13	6	5	2	+3	23
11	Lokeren	18	5	4	9	-7	19
12	Eupen	18	4	5	9	-13	17
13	St Truiden	18	4	4	10	-8	16
14	Beveren	17	3	6	8	-12	15
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	17	3	2	12	-19	11
16	Westerlo	17	2	5	10	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Standard	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	Genk	9	6	1	2	+4	19
4	Oostende	7	5	2	0	+15	17
5	Mechelen	9	5	1	3	+4	16
6	Kortrijk	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Club Brugge	6	4	2	0	+11	14
8	Lokeren	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Waregem	5	4	1	0	+7	13
10	Charleroi	6	4	1	1	+2	13
11	Beveren	9	3	4	2	+1	13
12	Eupen	9	3	4	2	-1	13
13	Anderlecht	5	4	0	1	+13	12
14	St Truiden	9	3	3	3	+1	12
15	Westerlo	8	1	3	4	-4	6
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	8	5	1	2	+6	16
2	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Charleroi	7	2	4	1	+1	10
4	Club Brugge	5	3	0	2	+4	9
5	Standard	9	2	3	4	-2	9
6	Mechelen	8	2	3	3	-5	9
7	Kortrijk	9	2	3	4	-7	9
8	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	2	1	6	-8	7
9	Oostende	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Gent	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Lokeren	9	1	2	6	-8	5
12	Genk	8	1	2	5	-10	5
13	Westerlo	9	1	2	6	-17	5
14	St Truiden	9	1	1	7	-9	4
15	Eupen	9	1	1	7	-12	4
16	Beveren	8	0	2	6	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.