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Pro League
St Truiden
T S T T T
0–1
Full-time
Mechelen
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
67%
71%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
71%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match St Truiden 12. · Mechelen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 21 17 1 3 +38 52
2 Gent 21 13 6 2 +24 45
3 Anderlecht 20 11 6 3 +14 39
4 Oostende 21 11 5 5 +13 38
5 Genk 18 10 3 5 +10 33
6 Waregem 21 9 5 7 +7 32
7 Standard 24 10 2 12 -13 32
8 Mechelen 24 8 6 10 -4 30
9 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
11 Charleroi 20 7 5 8 -1 26
12 St Truiden 24 8 2 14 -13 26
13 Kortrijk 22 6 7 9 -7 25
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 6 7 11 -9 25
15 Beveren 24 7 4 13 -16 25
16 Lokeren 24 6 6 12 -8 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Mechelen
43′
T. Matthys 0–1
Half-time 0–1
G. Hendrickx 🔁
↦ M. Mahlangu
46′
58′
🔁 R. Leal
↦ T. Matthys
F. Tchenkoua 🔁
↦ Allan
67′
77′
🔁 N. Ben Khalifa
↦ S. Hanni
M. Tchité 🔁
↦ P. Gerkens
81′
91′
🔁 L. Crepulja
↦ N. Verdier
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

28 W. Dutoît
19 Y. Erichot
20 D. Dussaut
23 S. Kotysch
4 M. Mahlangu
15 C. Cuevas
14 P. Gerkens
5 A. De Sart
22 Allan
33 N. Proschwitz
9 B. Raman
Bench (7)
6 G. Hendrickx
7 F. Tchenkoua
10 M. Tchité
2 C. De Norre
13 E. Velić
26 Ruben Fernandes
27 I. Swers

Mechelen

1 J. Gillet
4 S. De Witte
2 L. Paulussen
15 E. Cocalić
23 U. Vitas
12 S. De Petter
7 T. Matthys
94 S. Hanni
11 M. Rits
77 G. Claes
99 N. Verdier
Bench (7)
8 R. Leal
17 N. Ben Khalifa
6 L. Crepulja
9 D. Veselinović
14 Chen Xavier
30 J. Vanlerberghe
49 A. Moris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.