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Pro League
Referee: Nathan Verboomen
Charleroi
U T S S S
1–1
Full-time
Oostende
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 11/16 matches
Win Ø 48%
64%
31%
Points per game
2,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
55%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
44%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
7 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 4. · Oostende 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 11 10 0 1 +18 30
2 Anderlecht 11 8 2 1 +11 26
3 St Truiden 16 7 4 5 -2 25
4 Charleroi 11 7 3 1 +9 24
5 Antwerp 16 6 6 4 +2 24
6 Beveren 16 6 3 7 +4 21
7 Waregem 16 6 1 9 -2 19
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 16 5 4 7 -6 19
9 Oostende 16 5 3 8 -1 18
10 Gent 11 5 2 4 +8 17
11 Lokeren 16 4 5 7 -7 17
12 Standard 10 4 4 2 +2 16
13 Genk 10 3 6 1 +3 15
14 Kortrijk 16 3 5 8 -12 14
15 Mechelen 16 2 6 8 -9 12
16 Eupen 16 2 4 10 -18 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Oostende
15′
🟨 Kevin Vandendriessche
Marco Ilaimaharitra 🟨
16′
27′
🟨 Antonio Milić
33′
🟨 Nicolas Lombaerts
Clement Tainmont 🟨
35′
1–0 C. Tainmont
Nurio Fortuna
42′
Half-time 1–1
58′
K. Musona 1–1
K. Vandendriessche
65′
🔁 Z. Gano
↦ J. Akpala
E. Sağlık 🔁
↦ G. Hendrickx
69′
D. Pollet 🔁
↦ C. Tainmont
73′
76′
🔁 R. Zivkovic
↦ K. Vandendriessche
Cristian Benavente 🟨
78′
82′
🟨 Sébastien Siani
C. Bedia 🔁
↦ K. Rezaei
88′
91′
🔁 R. Rezaeian
↦ B. Capon
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
17 S. Marinos D
8 Javi Martos D
24 D. Dessoleil D
25 Nurio Fortuna D
7 C. Tainmont M
14 C. Benavente M
22 G. Hendrickx M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
77 M. Fall F
9 K. Rezaei F
Bench (8)
28 E. Sağlık
10 D. Pollet
99 C. Bedia
6 G. Zajkov
13 C. Diandy
20 N. Rodes
27 J. Celestine
35 P. Mandanda

Coach: F. Mazzù

Oostende

3-5-2
28 W. Dutoît G
6 N. Lombaerts D
27 B. Capon D
33 Ž. Tomašević D
44 A. Milić D
16 A. Bjelica D
7 S. Siani M
15 A. Jali M
26 K. Vandendriessche M
17 J. Akpala F
11 K. Musona F
Bench (7)
93 Z. Gano
9 R. Zivkovic
24 R. Rezaeian
18 D. Rozehnal
21 M. Vanhamel
36 H. Özkan
55 Fernando Canesin

Coach: A. Čustović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nathan Verboomen · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.