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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Charleroi
S U U T S
2–0
Full-time
Mechelen
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 9/14 matches
Win Ø 35%
56%
14%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
67%
43%
Both score Ø 66%
67%
64%
Average goals
3,4
2,9
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Charleroi 8. · Mechelen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 9 8 0 1 +14 24
2 St Truiden 14 7 3 4 -1 24
3 Beveren 14 6 3 5 +9 21
4 Anderlecht 9 6 2 1 +6 20
5 Antwerp 14 5 5 4 +1 20
6 Waregem 14 6 1 7 +0 19
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 14 5 4 5 -3 19
8 Charleroi 9 5 3 1 +5 18
9 Lokeren 14 4 4 6 -4 16
10 Standard 9 4 3 2 +2 15
11 Oostende 14 4 2 8 -2 14
12 Genk 9 2 6 1 +2 12
13 Gent 9 3 2 4 +3 11
14 Mechelen 14 2 5 7 -7 11
15 Kortrijk 14 2 5 7 -9 11
16 Eupen 14 2 4 8 -16 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Mechelen
1–0 K. Rezaei
17′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Bandé
↦ Y. Croizet
56′
🟨 Seth De Witte
60′
🔁 S. Dražić
↦ N. Pedersen
71′
🟥 Rob Schoofs
Amara Baby 🟨
76′
M. Fall 🔁
↦ D. Lukebakio
77′
D. Pollet 🔁
↦ A. Baby
82′
82′
🔁 D. Kolovos
↦ T. Matthys
Mamadou Fall 🟨
83′
2–0 K. Rezaei
C. Benavente
88′
E. Sağlık 🔁
↦ K. Rezaei
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
17 S. Marinos D
41 F. N'Ganga D
8 Javi Martos D
24 D. Dessoleil D
18 A. Baby M
14 C. Benavente M
22 G. Hendrickx M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
46 D. Lukebakio M
9 K. Rezaei F
Bench (8)
77 M. Fall
10 D. Pollet
28 E. Sağlık
6 G. Zajkov
13 C. Diandy
20 N. Rodes
35 P. Mandanda
99 C. Bedia

Coach: F. Mazzù

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
26 C. Coosemans G
4 S. De Witte D
15 E. Cocalić D
22 E. Cobbaut D
7 T. Matthys M
17 I. Tomečak M
55 Ž. Filipović M
11 M. Rits M
16 R. Schoofs
10 Y. Croizet M
9 N. Pedersen F
Bench (8)
27 B. Bandé
99 S. Dražić
20 D. Kolovos
2 L. Paulussen
3 A. El Messaoudi
8 R. Leal
30 H. Smolders
49 A. Moris

Coach: A. Janković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.