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Pro League

Referee: C Dierick

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T T S U

3–2

Full-time

St Truiden

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

This season — Pro League · 12/15 matches

Win Ø 11%

13%

Points per game

0,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

33%

53%

Both score Ø 55%

42%

67%

Average goals

2,1

3,1

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2 Corners 8

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 20. · St Truiden 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	15	9	5	1	+17	32
2	Beerschot VA	15	10	1	4	+6	31
3	Antwerp	14	7	5	2	+8	26
4	Club Brugge	14	7	4	3	+17	25
5	Charleroi	14	7	3	4	+8	24
6	Standard	14	6	6	2	+5	24
7	Anderlecht	14	5	8	1	+9	23
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	6	4	4	+1	22
9	Kortrijk	16	6	4	6	+1	22
10	Cercle Brugge	16	7	0	9	-3	21
11	Eupen	15	4	8	3	-2	20
12	Waregem	16	6	2	8	-5	20
13	Gent	15	6	1	8	+1	19
14	Oostende	14	4	4	6	+1	16
15	Mechelen	12	4	3	5	-3	15
16	St Truiden	15	2	6	7	-10	12
17	Mouscron	13	2	4	7	-12	10
18	Waasland-Beveren	13	2	3	8	-13	9
19	Beveren	13	2	3	8	-13	9
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	1	4	7	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beerschot VA	8	7	0	1	+10	21
2	Genk	7	5	2	0	+13	17
3	Antwerp	8	4	4	0	+6	16
4	Oostende	8	4	2	2	+8	14
5	Club Brugge	7	4	1	2	+6	13
6	Charleroi	6	4	0	2	+6	12
7	Anderlecht	7	2	5	0	+4	11
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	3	2	1	+1	11
9	Kortrijk	9	3	2	4	+0	11
10	Standard	6	2	4	0	+2	10
11	St Truiden	8	2	4	2	+1	10
12	Cercle Brugge	8	3	0	5	-2	9
13	Eupen	7	2	3	2	-2	9
14	Waregem	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Mechelen	6	1	2	3	-1	5
16	Mouscron	7	1	2	4	-4	5
17	Gent	6	1	1	4	-2	4
18	Waasland-Beveren	7	1	1	5	-8	4
19	Beveren	7	1	1	5	-8	4
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	8	4	3	1	+4	15
2	Gent	9	5	0	4	+3	15
3	Standard	8	4	2	2	+3	14
4	Waregem	8	4	1	3	+1	13
5	Club Brugge	7	3	3	1	+11	12
6	Anderlecht	7	3	3	1	+5	12
7	Charleroi	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Cercle Brugge	8	4	0	4	-1	12
9	Kortrijk	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Eupen	8	2	5	1	+0	11
12	Antwerp	6	3	1	2	+2	10
13	Mechelen	6	3	1	2	-2	10
14	Beerschot VA	7	3	1	3	-4	10
15	Waasland-Beveren	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Beveren	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Mouscron	6	1	2	3	-8	5
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	1	2	3	-8	5
19	Oostende	6	0	2	4	-7	2
20	St Truiden	7	0	2	5	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.