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Referee: Jonathan Lardot

Royal Excel Mouscron

S S S S U

1–1

Full-time

St Truiden

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,0

This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 40%

36%

43%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

54%

Both score Ø 59%

46%

71%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

5 Corners 9

2 Yellow cards 2

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 7. · St Truiden 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	28	12	10	6	+13	46
2	Antwerp	18	13	1	4	+13	40
3	Kortrijk	28	11	7	10	+2	40
4	Charleroi	28	11	6	11	+0	39
5	Genk	18	11	5	2	+21	38
6	Standard	18	10	6	2	+17	36
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	28	10	6	12	-1	36
8	Gent	18	11	2	5	+16	35
9	Club Brugge	18	10	4	4	+17	34
10	Anderlecht	18	10	4	4	+12	34
11	Waregem	28	8	7	13	-11	31
12	Eupen	28	9	2	17	-20	29
13	Cercle Brugge	28	7	7	14	-21	28
14	Oostende	28	6	9	13	-20	27
15	Beveren	28	5	11	12	-12	26
16	Lokeren	28	4	5	19	-26	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	14	8	5	1	+13	29
2	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	7	3	4	+7	24
3	Charleroi	14	7	3	4	+5	24
4	Standard	9	6	3	0	+12	21
5	Cercle Brugge	14	6	3	5	-3	21
6	Club Brugge	9	6	1	2	+13	19
7	Anderlecht	9	5	4	0	+11	19
8	Gent	9	6	1	2	+10	19
9	Antwerp	9	6	1	2	+6	19
10	Waregem	14	5	4	5	+2	19
11	Kortrijk	14	5	3	6	-3	18
12	Eupen	14	6	0	8	-4	18
13	Genk	9	5	2	2	+8	17
14	Oostende	14	4	4	6	-7	16
15	Beveren	14	3	6	5	-5	15
16	Lokeren	14	4	3	7	-10	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kortrijk	14	6	4	4	+5	22
2	Genk	9	6	3	0	+13	21
3	Antwerp	9	7	0	2	+7	21
4	St Truiden	14	4	5	5	+0	17
5	Gent	9	5	1	3	+6	16
6	Standard	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Club Brugge	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Anderlecht	9	5	0	4	+1	15
9	Charleroi	14	4	3	7	-5	15
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	3	3	8	-8	12
11	Waregem	14	3	3	8	-13	12
12	Beveren	14	2	5	7	-7	11
13	Oostende	14	2	5	7	-13	11
14	Eupen	14	3	2	9	-16	11
15	Cercle Brugge	14	1	4	9	-18	7
16	Lokeren	14	0	2	12	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.