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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
St Truiden
T T U T S
1–2
Full-time
Genk
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 33%
20%
45%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
64%
Both score Ø 66%
50%
82%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

63% Possession 37%
15 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 19
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 16. · Genk 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Beerschot VA 13 8 1 4 +4 25
2 Charleroi 12 7 3 2 +11 24
3 Anderlecht 11 5 6 0 +10 21
4 Antwerp 11 6 3 2 +7 21
5 Standard 11 6 3 2 +5 21
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 6 3 3 +2 21
7 Genk 11 5 5 1 +6 20
8 Kortrijk 14 5 4 5 +0 19
9 Club Brugge 10 5 2 3 +14 17
10 Eupen 13 3 7 3 -4 16
11 Oostende 9 4 3 2 +9 15
12 Gent 12 5 0 7 +3 15
13 Cercle Brugge 10 5 0 5 +1 15
14 Waregem 13 4 2 7 -9 14
15 Mechelen 10 3 3 4 -3 12
16 St Truiden 10 2 3 5 -8 9
17 Waasland-Beveren 10 1 2 7 -13 5
18 Beveren 10 1 2 7 -13 5
19 Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Genk
4′
T. Bongonda 0–1
J. Ito
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon 🟨
6′
1–1 Y. Suzuki
O. Filippov
28′
30′
🔁 K. Thorstvedt
↦ D. Wouters
31′
T. Bongonda 1–2
C. Cuesta
Pol García 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–2
49′
🟨 Kristian Thorstvedt
Steve De Ridder 🟨
53′
T. Ito 🔁
↦ I. Sankhon
68′
73′
🔁 B. Heynen
↦ P. Hrošovský
F. Colidio 🔁
↦ D. Nazon
74′
81′
🟨 Theo Bongonda
Lee Seung-Woo 🔁
↦ S. Asamoah
81′
86′
🔁 E. Kouassi
↦ P. Onuachu
Maximiliano Caufriez 🟨
87′
Steve De Ridder 🟨
90′
Steve De Ridder 🟥
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 D. Schmidt G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
4 Pol García D
3 M. Caufriez D
13 L. Cacace D
12 S. Asamoah M
8 I. Sankhon M
16 S. De Ridder M
11 O. Filippov F
90 D. Nazon F
9 Y. Suzuki F
Bench (7)
23 T. Ito
18 F. Colidio
10 Lee Seung-Woo
1 K. Steppe
5 S. Colombatto
20 S. Mmaee
39 Jonathan Buatu

Coach: K. Muscat

Genk

5-3-2
1 D. Vuković G
21 J. Uronen D
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle D
23 D. Muñoz D
17 P. Hrošovský M
4 D. Wouters M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito M
Bench (7)
42 K. Thorstvedt
8 B. Heynen
38 E. Kouassi
26 M. Vandevoordt
24 L. Oyen
9 C. Dessers
5 G. Arteaga

Coach: D. Olivieri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,45
U
3,36
B ✓
2,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.