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Eliteserien

Referee: M Lien

Kristiansund

U T T S U

3–1

Full-time

Fredrikstad

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 37%

23%

50%

Points per game

1,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

54%

42%

Both score Ø 60%

77%

42%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

65% Possession 35%

20 Shots 13

9 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 8

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Kristiansund 11. · Fredrikstad 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	10	3	1	+22	+12.7	33
2	Brann	15	8	4	3	+5	+12.3	28
3	Molde	14	8	3	3	+14	+11.0	27
4	Viking	13	7	4	2	+8	+4.6	25
5	Fredrikstad	12	6	4	2	+9	+1.2	22
6	Stromsgodset	12	5	3	4	-1	-4.1	18
7	Rosenborg	13	5	2	6	-4	-3.3	17
8	Lillestrom	13	5	1	7	-8	-3.7	16
9	KFUM Oslo	13	3	6	4	-2	+4.7	15
10	Ham-Kam	14	3	5	6	+0	-1.7	14
11	Kristiansund	13	3	5	5	-3	-7.3	14
12	Tromso	14	4	2	8	-6	-6.0	14
13	Odd	14	3	5	6	-11	-8.5	14
14	Haugesund	12	4	1	7	-6	-4.2	13
15	Sarpsborg 08	13	4	1	8	-11	-6.9	13
16	Sandefjord	13	2	3	8	-6	-0.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	8	5	1	2	+4	+9.9	16
2	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	3	0	+10	+4.6	15
3	Molde	8	4	2	2	+7	+8.9	14
4	Viking	7	4	2	1	+4	+2.3	14
5	Rosenborg	7	4	1	2	+1	+1.5	13
6	Kristiansund	6	2	3	1	+1	+3.3	9
7	Tromso	8	3	0	5	-1	-0.6	9
8	Fredrikstad	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.7	8
9	Stromsgodset	5	2	2	1	+2	-0.5	8
10	Sandefjord	6	2	0	4	-1	-0.2	6
11	Haugesund	7	2	0	5	-5	-0.9	6
12	Odd	7	1	3	3	-6	-1.8	6
13	Ham-Kam	6	1	2	3	-2	-2.0	5
14	KFUM Oslo	7	0	4	3	-6	+5.1	4
15	Lillestrom	6	1	1	4	-10	-3.6	4
16	Sarpsborg 08	6	1	0	5	-11	-1.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	6	0	1	+12	+8.0	18
2	Fredrikstad	7	4	2	1	+7	-0.5	14
3	Molde	6	4	1	1	+7	+2.0	13
4	Lillestrom	7	4	0	3	+2	-0.1	12
5	Brann	7	3	3	1	+1	+2.4	12
6	Viking	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.3	11
7	KFUM Oslo	6	3	2	1	+4	-0.4	11
8	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	1	3	+0	-5.1	10
9	Stromsgodset	7	3	1	3	-3	-3.6	10
10	Ham-Kam	8	2	3	3	+2	+0.3	9
11	Odd	7	2	2	3	-5	-6.8	8
12	Haugesund	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.2	7
13	Kristiansund	7	1	2	4	-4	-10.6	5
14	Tromso	6	1	2	3	-5	-5.3	5
15	Rosenborg	6	1	1	4	-5	-4.8	4
16	Sandefjord	7	0	3	4	-5	-0.5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.