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Pro League
Referee: B Staessens
Kortrijk
S S T T S
3–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Seraing United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 22/20 matches
Win Ø 26%
32%
20%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
59%
55%
Both score Ø 57%
59%
55%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

61% Possession 39%
21 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Kortrijk 12. · Seraing United 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 18 16 1 1 +33 49
2 St. Gilloise 18 14 3 1 +22 45
3 Antwerp 18 13 2 3 +19 41
4 Club Brugge 17 10 3 4 +15 33
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 9 6 7 +9 33
6 St Truiden 21 9 6 6 +3 33
7 Gent 17 10 2 5 +14 32
8 Charleroi 20 9 1 10 -5 28
9 Anderlecht 20 8 3 9 +6 27
10 Cercle Brugge 18 7 6 5 +3 27
11 Standard 18 8 3 7 +2 27
12 Kortrijk 22 7 3 12 -16 24
13 Eupen 23 7 2 14 -17 23
14 Westerlo 18 6 4 8 -1 22
15 Mechelen 21 6 4 11 -10 22
16 Waregem 21 5 4 12 -16 19
17 Oostende 23 5 3 15 -26 18
18 Seraing United 20 4 3 13 -17 15
19 Seraing 21 4 3 14 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Seraing United
1–0 F. Avenatti
B. Messaoudi
9′
16′
ℹ️ Antoine Bernier
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Felipe Avenatti 🟨
17′
18′
Vagner 1–1
2–1 B. Messaoudi
M. Bruno
23′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 A. Sylla
↦ M. Tshibuabua
46′
🔁 S. Sissoko
↦ S. Mvoué
48′
🟨 Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni
53′
ℹ️ Mamadou Moustapha Mbow
VAR: Card upgrade
54′
🟥 Mamadou Moustapha Mbow
60′
Vagner 2–2
3–2 F. Selemani
C. Atemona
63′
K. D'Haene 🔁
↦ F. Selemani
67′
M. Regáli 🔁
↦ B. Messaoudi
67′
68′
🔁 Sérgio Conceição
↦ M. Sambu
H. Keïta 🔁
↦ S. Lončar
83′
M. Wasinski 🔁
↦ A. Kadri
83′
88′
🔁 E. Ifoni
↦ M. Poaty
93′
🔁 V. Guillaume
↦ M. Cachbach
P. Guèye 🔁
↦ M. Bruno
95′
96′
🟨 Sambou Sissoko
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Kortrijk

3-4-3
1 T. Vandenberghe G
44 João Silva D
4 T. Watanabe D
25 N. Mehssatou D
5 C. Atemona M
33 S. Lončar M
18 A. Kadri M
70 M. Bruno M
10 F. Selemani F
20 F. Avenatti F
9 B. Messaoudi F
Bench (7)
30 K. D'Haene
29 M. Regáli
12 H. Keïta
21 M. Wasinski
17 P. Guèye
16 M. Deman
23 D. De Neve

Coach: B. Storck

Seraing United

4-1-4-1
16 T. Martin G
40 D. Opare D
4 M. Tshibuabua D
99 M. Mbow D
18 M. Poaty D
23 C. Lepoint M
21 M. Sambu M
5 S. Mvoué M
6 M. Cachbach M
12 A. Bernier M
7 Vagner F
Bench (7)
2 A. Sylla
27 S. Sissoko
35 Sérgio Conceição
29 E. Ifoni
14 V. Guillaume
30 G. Dietsch
17 S. Trémoulet

Coach: J. Legros

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Staessens · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.