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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Anderlecht
T T S T U
2–3
Full-time
Waregem
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 32%
40%
24%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
55%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
55%
52%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 9. · Waregem 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 18 16 1 1 +33 49
2 St. Gilloise 18 14 3 1 +22 45
3 Antwerp 18 13 2 3 +19 41
4 Club Brugge 17 10 3 4 +15 33
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 9 6 7 +9 33
6 St Truiden 21 9 6 6 +3 33
7 Gent 17 10 2 5 +14 32
8 Charleroi 20 9 1 10 -5 28
9 Anderlecht 20 8 3 9 +6 27
10 Cercle Brugge 18 7 6 5 +3 27
11 Standard 18 8 3 7 +2 27
12 Kortrijk 22 7 3 12 -16 24
13 Eupen 23 7 2 14 -17 23
14 Westerlo 18 6 4 8 -1 22
15 Mechelen 21 6 4 11 -10 22
16 Waregem 21 5 4 12 -16 19
17 Oostende 23 5 3 15 -26 18
18 Seraing United 20 4 3 13 -17 15
19 Seraing 21 4 3 14 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Waregem
11′
Zinho Gano 0–1
A. Fadera
27′
🟨 Nicolas Rommens
1–1 B. Raman
M. N'Diaye
35′
2–1 B. Raman
F. Amuzu
36′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 A. Ndour
↦ B. Sørmo
58′
🟨 Alessandro Ciranni
62′
A. Ndour 2–2
R. Vormer
A. Dreyer 🔁
↦ B. Raman
66′
K. Arnstad 🔁
↦ A. Trébel
66′
66′
🔁 J. Vossen
↦ C. Brüls
75′
A. Fadera 2–3
79′
🔁 Dani Ramírez
↦ N. Rommens
N. Angulo 🔁
↦ M. NDiaye
86′
86′
🔁 K. Palumets
↦ R. Vormer
86′
🔁 C. Thiam
↦ A. Ciranni
Francis Amuzu 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
16 B. Verbruggen G
62 A. Murillo D
56 Z. Debast D
14 J. Vertonghen D
5 M. N'Diaye D
18 M. Ashimeru M
25 A. Trébel M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
29 M. Stroeykens F
9 B. Raman F
7 F. Amuzu F
Bench (7)
36 A. Dreyer
61 K. Arnstad
32 N. Angulo
76 L. Stassin
30 H. Van Crombrugge
21 A. Diawara
54 K. Sardella

Coach: B. Riemer

Waregem

3-5-2
1 S. Bossut G
22 B. Sørmo D
4 T. Derijck D
3 Borja López D
14 A. Ciranni M
20 N. Rommens M
25 R. Vormer M
6 A. Sissako M
7 A. Fadera M
93 Zinho Gano F
12 C. Brüls F
Bench (7)
11 A. Ndour
9 J. Vossen
23 Dani Ramírez
16 K. Palumets
46 C. Thiam
38 L. Bostyn
5 O. Drambaev

Coach: M. Leye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,55
U
4,41
B ✓
5,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,36
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.