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Copa del Rey
Referee: Javier Alberola
Betis
U T U S S
2–2
Full-time
Osasuna
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
4,0
Scored
4,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
18 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
3 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 21
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 33. · Osasuna 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Sociedad 4 4 0 0 +10 12
3 Ath Bilbao 4 4 0 0 +9 12
4 Villarreal 3 3 0 0 +14 9
5 Mallorca 4 3 0 1 +8 9
6 Levante 3 3 0 0 +6 9
7 Osasuna 3 3 0 0 +6 9
8 Ath Madrid 3 3 0 0 +6 9
9 Espanol 4 3 0 1 +5 9
10 Ceuta 3 3 0 0 +3 9
11 Sp Gijon 4 3 0 1 +2 9
12 Alaves 4 3 0 1 +2 9
13 Valencia 2 2 0 0 +7 6
14 Celta 3 2 0 1 +6 6
15 Valladolid 3 2 0 1 +5 6
16 Elche 3 2 0 1 +5 6
17 Cacereño 3 2 0 1 +3 6
18 Getafe 3 2 0 1 +2 6
19 Intercity 3 2 0 1 +2 6
20 Gimnastic 3 2 0 1 +2 6
21 Pontevedra 3 2 0 1 +1 6
22 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 3 2 0 1 +0 6
23 Oviedo 3 2 0 1 +0 6
24 Linares Deportivo 3 2 0 1 -3 6
25 Albacete 2 1 1 0 +3 4
26 UD Logroñés 3 1 1 1 +1 4
27 Saguntino 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 Las Palmas 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Vallecano 3 1 1 1 +0 4
30 La Nucía 3 1 1 1 -1 4
31 Cartagena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
32 Eldense 3 1 1 1 -4 4
33 Betis 1 1 0 0 +3 3
34 Eibar 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Andorra 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Ibiza 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Guijuelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Tenerife 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Granada 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Girona 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Real Unión 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Arenteiro 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Sestao River 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Numancia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Diocesano 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Cazalegas 2 1 0 1 -2 3
56 Guadalajara 2 1 0 1 -2 3
57 Arenas Getxo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
58 CD Coria 2 1 0 1 -3 3
59 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
60 Alcorcon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
61 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Coruxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Utebo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Ourense CF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Malaga 2 0 1 1 -1 1
73 Mérida AD 2 0 1 1 -1 1
74 Atlético Paso 2 0 1 1 -1 1
75 Burgos 2 0 1 1 -1 1
76 Arnedo 2 0 1 1 -2 1
77 Juventud Torremolinos 2 0 1 1 -3 1
78 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
79 Gernika 2 0 1 1 -3 1
80 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
81 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Yeclano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Santander 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
102 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
103 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
115 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
116 San Juan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
117 Almeria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
118 Alzira 1 0 0 1 -2 0
119 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
120 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
121 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
122 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
123 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
124 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
125 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Osasuna
Half-time 0–0
Borja Iglesias 🔁
↦ Willian José
58′
Aitor Ruibal 🔁
↦ Rodri
58′
59′
🟨 Aimar Oroz
1–0 William Carvalho
62′
71′
🔁 A. Budimir
↦ Kike García
71′
🔁 E. Ávila
↦ A. Ezzalzouli
71′
🔁 Kike Barja
↦ D. Brašanac
Loren Morón 🔁
↦ Luiz Henrique
77′
77′
🔁 Diego Moreno
↦ Lucas Torró
78′
🟨 David García
78′
🔁 Manu Sánchez
↦ Juan Cruz
91′
David García 1–1
Abner 🔁
↦ Juan Miranda
97′
2–1 Y. Sabaly
Borja Iglesias
103′
105′
🔁 Aridane
↦ Unai García
106′
Rubén García 2–2
P. Akouokou 🔁
↦ William Carvalho
113′
121′
E. Ávila 2–3
3–3 Borja Iglesias
122′
123′
A. Budimir 3–4
4–4 Loren Morón
124′
125′
Moncayola 4–5
Sergio Canales
penalty missed
126′
127′
Kike Barja 4–6
G. Rodríguez
penalty missed
128′
Full-time 4–6

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 C. Bravo G
23 Y. Sabaly D
19 Luiz Felipe D
3 Edgar González D
33 Juan Miranda D
14 William Carvalho M
5 G. Rodríguez M
11 Luiz Henrique M
10 Sergio Canales M
28 Rodri M
12 Willian José F
Bench (9)
9 Borja Iglesias
24 Aitor Ruibal
21 Loren Morón
20 Abner
4 P. Akouokou
16 G. Pezzella
25 Dani Martín
6 Víctor Ruiz
2 Martín Montoya

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Osasuna

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Herrera G
7 Moncayola D
4 Unai García D
5 David García D
3 Juan Cruz D
6 Lucas Torró M
22 Aimar Oroz M
14 Rubén García M
8 D. Brašanac M
12 A. Ezzalzouli M
18 Kike García F
Bench (9)
17 A. Budimir
9 E. Ávila
11 Kike Barja
35 Diego Moreno
20 Manu Sánchez
23 Aridane
25 Aitor Fernández
13 Juan Pérez
16 Moi Gómez

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.