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Eliteserien

Referee: E Eskås

Lillestrom

T T S S T

3–1

Full-time

Stromsgodset

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

62%

38%

Both score Ø 46%

46%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

55% Possession 45%

19 Shots 9

10 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 10. · Stromsgodset 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	10	3	1	+22	+12.7	33
2	Brann	15	8	4	3	+5	+12.3	28
3	Molde	14	8	3	3	+14	+11.0	27
4	Viking	13	7	4	2	+8	+4.6	25
5	Fredrikstad	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.2	22
6	Stromsgodset	13	5	4	4	-1	-4.1	19
7	Kristiansund	14	4	5	5	-1	-7.3	17
8	Rosenborg	14	5	2	7	-7	-2.3	17
9	Sarpsborg 08	14	5	1	8	-8	-7.9	16
10	Lillestrom	13	5	1	7	-8	-3.7	16
11	KFUM Oslo	13	3	6	4	-2	+4.7	15
12	Ham-Kam	14	3	5	6	+0	-1.7	14
13	Tromso	14	4	2	8	-6	-6.0	14
14	Odd	14	3	5	6	-11	-8.5	14
15	Haugesund	12	4	1	7	-6	-4.2	13
16	Sandefjord	14	2	4	8	-6	-0.7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	8	5	1	2	+4	+9.9	16
2	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	3	0	+10	+4.6	15
3	Molde	8	4	2	2	+7	+8.9	14
4	Viking	7	4	2	1	+4	+2.3	14
5	Rosenborg	7	4	1	2	+1	+1.5	13
6	Kristiansund	7	3	3	1	+3	+3.3	12
7	Stromsgodset	6	2	3	1	+2	-0.5	9
8	Tromso	8	3	0	5	-1	-0.6	9
9	Fredrikstad	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.7	8
10	Sandefjord	6	2	0	4	-1	-0.2	6
11	Haugesund	7	2	0	5	-5	-0.9	6
12	Odd	7	1	3	3	-6	-1.8	6
13	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	0	5	-8	-2.8	6
14	Ham-Kam	6	1	2	3	-2	-2.0	5
15	KFUM Oslo	7	0	4	3	-6	+5.1	4
16	Lillestrom	6	1	1	4	-10	-3.6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	6	0	1	+12	+8.0	18
2	Fredrikstad	8	4	2	2	+5	-0.5	14
3	Molde	6	4	1	1	+7	+2.0	13
4	Lillestrom	7	4	0	3	+2	-0.1	12
5	Brann	7	3	3	1	+1	+2.4	12
6	Viking	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.3	11
7	KFUM Oslo	6	3	2	1	+4	-0.4	11
8	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	1	3	+0	-5.1	10
9	Stromsgodset	7	3	1	3	-3	-3.6	10
10	Ham-Kam	8	2	3	3	+2	+0.3	9
11	Odd	7	2	2	3	-5	-6.8	8
12	Haugesund	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.2	7
13	Kristiansund	7	1	2	4	-4	-10.6	5
14	Tromso	6	1	2	3	-5	-5.3	5
15	Sandefjord	8	0	4	4	-5	-0.5	4
16	Rosenborg	7	1	1	5	-8	-3.8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.