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Eliteserien
Referee: S Sinnes
Tromso
S T S U S
1–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 35%
30%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,85 xG 0,49
57% Possession 43%
7 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 12. · Lillestrom 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Brann 13 8 3 2 +9 +11.0 27
2 Bodo/Glimt 11 7 3 1 +16 +8.4 24
3 Molde 12 6 3 3 +9 +10.0 21
4 Fredrikstad 11 6 3 2 +9 +0.8 21
5 Viking 11 5 4 2 +5 +4.6 19
6 Stromsgodset 10 5 1 4 -1 -2.2 16
7 KFUM Oslo 10 3 5 2 +0 +3.4 14
8 Rosenborg 10 4 1 5 -3 -3.0 13
9 Haugesund 10 4 1 5 -4 -1.8 13
10 Odd 11 3 3 5 -10 -11.7 12
11 Ham-Kam 12 2 4 6 -1 -1.7 10
12 Tromso 10 3 1 6 -4 -5.4 10
13 Kristiansund 11 2 4 5 -5 -6.3 10
14 Lillestrom 10 3 1 6 -7 -3.3 10
15 Sarpsborg 08 10 3 1 6 -9 -3.4 10
16 Sandefjord 10 2 2 6 -4 +0.7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Lillestrom
20′
K. Antonsen 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–1
51′
T. Lehne Olsen 1–1
M. Lundemo
L. Nordås 🔁
↦ A. Jenssen
56′
65′
🔁 H. Skogvold
↦ T. Lehne Olsen
2–1 T. Guddal
K. Antonsen
67′
Runar Robinsonn Norheim 🟨
72′
72′
🔁 S. Foss
↦ E. Lucky
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal 🟨
75′
J. Robertsen 🔁
↦ Y. Paintsil
80′
F. Winther 🔁
↦ J. Hjertø-Dahl
80′
M. Johnsgård 🔁
↦ V. Erlien
88′
I. Vik 🔁
↦ V. Skjærvik
88′
93′
🟨 Mads Christiansen
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Tromso

5-4-1
1 J. Haugaard G
17 Y. Paintsil D
5 A. Jenssen D
21 T. Guddal D
4 V. Skjærvik D
23 R. Norheim D
10 J. Romsaas M
6 J. Hjertø-Dahl M
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen M
15 V. Erlien F
Bench (9)
9 L. Nordås
3 J. Robertsen
7 F. Winther
18 M. Johnsgård
26 I. Vik
25 L. Nilsen
28 C. Psyché
12 S. Thomas
14 M. Barry

Coach: J. Vik

Lillestrom

4-3-3
12 M. Hedenstad G
64 E. Larsson D
4 E. Garnås D
28 R. Gabrielsen D
19 K. Tønnessen D
7 Y. Ibrahimaj M
8 M. Lundemo M
23 G. Åsen M
24 E. Lucky F
10 T. Lehne Olsen F
20 F
Bench (9)
33 H. Skogvold
30 S. Foss
38 A. Røssing-Lelesiit
1 S. Hagerup
11 F. Elkær
17 E. Kitolano
15 E. Knudtzon
21 D. Skaarud
90 E. Furaha

Coach: A. Georgson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Sinnes · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.