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Eliteserien

Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Molde

U U S S S

0–1

Full-time

Kristiansund

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Kristiansund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 6/8 matches

Win Ø 36%

33%

38%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

67%

63%

Both score Ø 54%

33%

75%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,28 xG 0,42

65% Possession 35%

21 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 0

2 Offside 4

4 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 9. · Kristiansund 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	8	5	2	1	+12	+9.8	17
2	Brann	7	5	1	1	+4	+6.1	16
3	Rosenborg	7	4	3	0	+7	+5.9	15
4	Fredrikstad	6	4	1	1	+7	-2.1	13
5	Sandefjord	6	4	0	2	+3	+0.7	12
6	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	2	1	+7	+4.7	11
7	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	1	0	+7	+5.5	10
8	Kristiansund	8	3	1	4	-3	-1.6	10
9	Molde	6	2	2	2	-1	+0.3	8
10	Tromso	6	2	1	3	-1	+1.4	7
11	Valerenga	7	2	1	4	-3	-1.1	7
12	Stromsgodset	6	2	0	4	+2	-2.7	6
13	KFUM Oslo	6	1	1	4	-7	-4.1	4
14	Ham-Kam	6	1	1	4	-11	-6.9	4
15	Bryne	6	1	0	5	-7	+0.1	3
16	Haugesund	7	0	1	6	-16	-15.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	5	3	2	0	+8	+5.8	11
2	Brann	4	3	1	0	+4	+3.3	10
3	Fredrikstad	3	3	0	0	+7	-1.2	9
4	Sandefjord	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.6	9
5	Rosenborg	4	2	2	0	+4	+5.3	8
6	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.9	6
7	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	+3	+2.6	4
8	Molde	3	1	1	1	-1	+1.1	4
9	Ham-Kam	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.7	4
10	Tromso	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.1	3
11	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.0	3
12	KFUM Oslo	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.0	3
13	Bryne	3	1	0	2	-2	+2.3	3
14	Kristiansund	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.4	3
15	Haugesund	3	0	1	2	-8	-3.9	1
16	Stromsgodset	3	0	0	3	-3	-3.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sarpsborg 08	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.1	7
2	Rosenborg	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.6	7
3	Kristiansund	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.0	7
4	Stromsgodset	3	2	0	1	+5	+0.6	6
5	Viking	3	2	0	1	+4	+4.0	6
6	Brann	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.8	6
7	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.6	4
8	Tromso	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.3	4
9	Molde	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
10	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
11	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.1	4
12	Sandefjord	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.1	3
13	KFUM Oslo	3	0	1	2	-5	-2.1	1
14	Bryne	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.2	0
15	Haugesund	4	0	0	4	-8	-11.9	0
16	Ham-Kam	3	0	0	3	-9	-5.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.