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Eliteserien

Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam

Rosenborg

S S S S U

1–1

Full-time

Kristiansund

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Kristiansund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,5

4,2

Scored

3,2

2,5

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,8

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 58%

75%

40%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

25%

80%

Both score Ø 53%

25%

80%

Average goals

1,5

3,4

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,38 xG 0,87

73% Possession 27%

25 Shots 2

4 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

15 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rosenborg 5. · Kristiansund 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	6	4	1	1	+9	+8.2	13
2	Brann	5	4	0	1	+2	+4.3	12
3	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	1	0	+7	+5.5	10
4	Fredrikstad	5	3	1	1	+6	-3.0	10
5	Rosenborg	4	3	1	0	+4	+4.3	10
6	Sarpsborg 08	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.6	7
7	Valerenga	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.2	7
8	Stromsgodset	5	2	0	3	+3	-2.6	6
9	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.2	6
10	Kristiansund	5	2	0	3	-3	+0.8	6
11	Tromso	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.9	4
12	Bryne	4	1	0	3	-1	+1.1	3
13	KFUM Oslo	4	1	0	3	-5	-3.5	3
14	Ham-Kam	4	1	0	3	-7	-3.8	3
15	Molde	4	0	2	2	-5	-2.1	2
16	Haugesund	5	0	1	4	-12	-12.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	4	3	1	0	+8	+5.3	10
2	Fredrikstad	3	3	0	0	+7	-1.2	9
3	Brann	3	3	0	0	+4	+2.0	9
4	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.9	6
5	Sandefjord	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.3	6
6	Rosenborg	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.6	4
7	Bryne	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.0	3
8	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
9	Tromso	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
10	Valerenga	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.4	3
11	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.3	3
12	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.2	3
13	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
14	Molde	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.6	1
15	Haugesund	2	0	1	1	-5	-2.8	1
16	Stromsgodset	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Stromsgodset	3	2	0	1	+5	+0.6	6
2	Sarpsborg 08	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.6	6
3	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.8	6
4	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.6	4
5	Valerenga	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
6	Viking	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.8	3
7	Kristiansund	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.6	3
8	Brann	2	1	0	1	-2	+2.2	3
9	Fredrikstad	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
10	Tromso	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.8	1
11	Molde	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.5	1
12	Bryne	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.0	0
13	Sandefjord	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.5	0
14	KFUM Oslo	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.6	0
15	Ham-Kam	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.6	0
16	Haugesund	3	0	0	3	-7	-9.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.