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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Brann

T S T S U

3–1

Full-time

Viking

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Viking

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 65%

57%

73%

Points per game

1,9

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

71%

67%

Both score Ø 62%

57%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,6

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,36 xG 0,31

44% Possession 56%

17 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

4 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brann 3. · Viking 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	15	11	3	1	+22	+16.5	36
2	Tromso	13	9	1	3	+7	+3.4	28
3	Brann	14	8	3	3	+3	+13.4	27
4	Rosenborg	15	7	5	3	+3	+7.8	26
5	Bodo/Glimt	12	7	2	3	+16	+14.1	23
6	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	6	2	+9	+8.8	21
7	Sandefjord	13	7	0	6	+4	-4.0	21
8	Fredrikstad	14	6	3	5	+3	-1.5	21
9	Kristiansund	15	5	4	6	-2	-10.3	19
10	Bryne	13	5	3	5	-2	-0.3	18
11	KFUM Oslo	13	4	3	6	-1	+0.2	15
12	Valerenga	14	4	3	7	-3	-1.5	15
13	Molde	14	4	2	8	-4	-1.8	14
14	Ham-Kam	13	3	4	6	-11	-8.8	13
15	Stromsgodset	13	2	0	11	-13	-12.7	6
16	Haugesund	14	0	2	12	-31	-23.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	8	6	2	0	+14	+10.8	20
2	Sandefjord	6	6	0	0	+13	+4.6	18
3	Brann	8	5	2	1	+4	+8.1	17
4	Fredrikstad	8	5	1	2	+7	-0.2	16
5	Rosenborg	8	4	4	0	+7	+8.7	16
6	Bodo/Glimt	7	5	0	2	+12	+9.9	15
7	Bryne	7	4	1	2	+1	+3.8	13
8	Tromso	6	4	0	2	+2	+3.4	12
9	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	2	2	+4	+4.4	8
10	Kristiansund	7	2	2	3	+0	-4.6	8
11	Ham-Kam	6	2	2	2	-3	-3.3	8
12	KFUM Oslo	6	2	1	3	+2	+0.2	7
13	Valerenga	6	1	2	3	-3	-1.2	5
14	Molde	6	1	1	4	-4	+0.9	4
15	Haugesund	7	0	2	5	-16	-7.1	2
16	Stromsgodset	7	0	0	7	-11	-6.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	7	5	1	1	+8	+5.7	16
2	Tromso	7	5	1	1	+5	+0.1	16
3	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	4	0	+5	+4.4	13
4	Kristiansund	8	3	2	3	-2	-5.7	11
5	Molde	8	3	1	4	+0	-2.7	10
6	Valerenga	8	3	1	4	+0	-0.2	10
7	Brann	6	3	1	2	-1	+5.3	10
8	Rosenborg	7	3	1	3	-4	-0.8	10
9	Bodo/Glimt	5	2	2	1	+4	+4.2	8
10	KFUM Oslo	7	2	2	3	-3	-0.0	8
11	Stromsgodset	6	2	0	4	-2	-6.5	6
12	Bryne	6	1	2	3	-3	-4.1	5
13	Fredrikstad	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.4	5
14	Ham-Kam	7	1	2	4	-8	-5.5	5
15	Sandefjord	7	1	0	6	-9	-8.6	3
16	Haugesund	7	0	0	7	-15	-16.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.