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Allsvenskan
Referee: Granit Maqedonci
AIK
U S T S T
3–0
Full-time
Degerfors
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Degerfors
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 15/14 matches
Win Ø 41%
53%
29%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
40%
64%
Both score Ø 49%
40%
57%
Average goals
2,3
3,4
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
0,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,65 xG 0,28
53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AIK 4. · Degerfors 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 15 10 4 1 +17 +2.9 34
2 Hammarby 16 10 3 3 +16 +10.5 33
3 Elfsborg 15 9 2 4 +9 +4.4 29
4 AIK 15 8 5 2 +7 +2.3 29
5 Malmo FF 16 7 6 3 +11 +10.4 27
6 GAIS 15 6 7 2 +8 +6.0 25
7 Goteborg 15 7 1 7 -2 +0.3 22
8 Brommapojkarna 15 6 1 8 +0 +1.5 19
9 Djurgarden 14 5 4 5 -2 +0.6 19
10 Hacken 14 5 3 6 -4 +0.6 18
11 Halmstad 14 5 1 8 -14 -7.8 16
12 Norrkoping 15 4 3 8 -6 -9.7 15
13 Sirius 14 3 4 7 -5 -5.0 13
14 Degerfors 14 4 1 9 -12 -1.6 13
15 Oster 15 3 3 9 -9 -9.4 12
16 Varnamo 14 0 4 10 -14 -6.1 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AIK Degerfors
9′
🟨 Sebastian Ohlsson
1–0 A. Kakoullis
30′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Lundgren
↦ T. Gronborg
2–0 A. Kakoullis
T. Ayari
64′
66′
🟨 Maill Lundgren
68′
🔁 S. Ohlsson
↦ L. Hien
68′
🔁 E. Barsoum
↦ M. Rafferty
B. Celina 🔁
↦ T. Ayari
73′
J. Guidetti 🔁
↦ A. Kakoullis
73′
80′
🔁 E. Lindell
↦ M. Diaby
A. Ali 🔁
↦ J. Hove
85′
90′
🔁 A. Fisic
↦ S. Ohlsson
3–0 B. Celina
A. Saletros
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

AIK

5-4-1
15 K. Nordfeldt G
17 M. Thychosen D
32 F. Benkovic D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
3 T. Isherwood D
46 Y. Geiger
45 T. Ayari M
7 A. Saletros M
33 A. Csongvai M
8 J. Hove M
9 A. Kakoullis F
Bench (9)
30 K. Joelsson
5 K. Karlsson
10 B. Celina
11 J. Guidetti
12 C. Pavey
16 B. Tiedemann
18 A. Ali
21 S. Wilson
22 J. Uronen

Coach: Mikkjal Kjartansson Thomassen

Degerfors

3-4-2-1
25 R. Forsell G
6 D. Sundgren D
4 L. Hien D
5 J. Pikkarainen
16 S. Ohlsson M
11 C. Gravius M
8 N. Girmai M
2 M. Diaby M
18 T. Gronborg F
10 M. Rafferty F
19 O. Faraj F
Bench (9)
1 W. Jakobsson
7 S. Ohlsson
9 A. Fisic
12 E. Lindell
15 N. Moro
20 E. Barsoum
21 E. Pihlstrom
22 M. Lundgren
23 A. Heden

Coach: Henok Goitom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Granit Maqedonci · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.