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Eliteserien
Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam
Brann
S T U U S
0–3
Full-time
Molde
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 46%
67%
25%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
78%
63%
Both score Ø 53%
67%
38%
Average goals
3,3
2,4
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,51 xG 0,68
72% Possession 28%
19 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 0
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Brann 3. · Molde 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viking 11 8 2 1 +17 +12.4 26
2 Rosenborg 10 6 3 1 +6 +7.8 21
3 Brann 9 6 2 1 +6 +8.4 20
4 Fredrikstad 9 5 1 3 +5 -2.7 16
5 Sandefjord 8 5 0 3 +2 +1.6 15
6 Bodo/Glimt 7 4 1 2 +8 +6.0 13
7 Tromso 8 4 1 3 +1 +0.9 13
8 Kristiansund 10 4 1 5 -3 -3.8 13
9 Sarpsborg 08 8 3 3 2 +6 +4.9 12
10 Valerenga 9 3 2 4 -2 -0.6 11
11 Bryne 8 3 0 5 -4 -0.3 9
12 Molde 8 2 2 4 -3 +2.2 8
13 Ham-Kam 8 2 2 4 -10 -7.7 8
14 Stromsgodset 8 2 0 6 -1 -4.9 6
15 KFUM Oslo 8 1 1 6 -9 -3.9 4
16 Haugesund 9 0 1 8 -19 -20.4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Molde
10′
🔁 S. Kabini
↦ K. Haugen
11′
F. Gulbrandsen 0–1
E. Hestad
32′
🟨 Fredrik Gulbrandsen
39′
🟨 Emil Breivik
45′
🟨 Mads Enggård
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 S. Granaas
↦ M. Eikrem
Joachim Soltvedt 🟨
48′
48′
K. Eriksen 0–2
S. Kabini
Felix Horn Myhre 🟨
54′
55′
🟨 Jacob Karlstrøm
59′
🔁 V. Berisha
↦ F. Gulbrandsen
60′
🟨 Samukelo Kabini
T. Pedersen 🔁
↦ D. De Roeve
62′
U. Mathisen 🔁
↦ M. Sande
62′
L. Remmem 🔁
↦ E. Gudmundsson
62′
72′
V. Berisha 0–3
E. Hestad
76′
🟨 Eirik Hestad
77′
🔁 J. Bakke
↦ E. Hestad
Eivind Helland 🟨
82′
M. Haaland 🔁
↦ B. Finne
82′
M. Hansen 🔁
↦ A. Heggebo
82′
83′
🟥 Veton Berisha
83′
ℹ️ Veton Berisha
VAR: Card upgrade
84′
🟨 Sondre Milian Granaas
Mads Hansen 🟨
89′
90′
🟥 Mads Enggård
VAR: Red card cancelled
91′
🟨 Mads Enggård
91′
🟥 Mads Enggård
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
21 D. De Roeve D
26 E. Fauske Helland D
6 J. Sery Larsen D
17 J. Soltvedt D
19 E. Gudmundsson M
10 E. Kornvig M
8 F. Myhre M
27 M. Sande F
20 A. Heggebo F
11 B. Finne F
Bench (9)
12 M. Borsheim
2 M. Hellan
43 R. Holten
3 F. Knudsen
23 T. Pedersen
32 M. Haaland
14 U. Mathisen
41 L. Remmem
7 M. Hansen

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Molde

4-4-2
1 J. Karlstrom G
18 H. Stenevik D
19 E. Haugan D
4 V. Lund D
28 K. Haugen D
5 E. Hestad
16 E. Breivik M
10 M. Enggaard M
20 K. Eriksen M
7 M. Eikrem F
8 F. Gulbrandsen F
Bench (7)
34 S. McDermott
26 S. Kabini
3 C. Oyvann
24 J. Bakke
46 M. Mork
14 V. Berisha
23 S. Granaas

Coach: Per-Mathias Høgmo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mohammad Usman Aslam · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.